Above the 40 (November 23, 2018) – Stock Market Barely Avoids Oversold Conditions

AT40 = 27.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 25.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (just above a 32-month low) VIX = 21.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Last week on November 20th, AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving … Read more

Above the 40 (November 9, 2018) – No Time for Comfort As Brakes Screech On the Oversold Bounce

AT40 = 35.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 34.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 17.4 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Hold up. Pump the brakes. The bounce from oversold conditions just got more difficult as sellers forced buyers to come to a … Read more

Above the 40 (October 25, 2018) – Breadth Responds Poorly to Latest 1-Day Oversold Rally

{editing note 10/28/18 – this is a restored version of this post after I accidentally over-wrote it in preparing for the next edition of Above the 40} AT40 = 12.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 7th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period (as low as 10.3%) … Read more

Above the 40 (October 5, 2018) – Not A Bear – Just A Bull Looking for Lower Prices

AT40 = 31.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (was as low 28.1%) AT200 = 46.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 14.0 (was as high as 15.8) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary So much for a small bounce before continuing a decline toward oversold conditions! … Read more

Above the 40 (October 1, 2018) – The Stock Market’s Anchors Ignore Over-Stretched Conditions

AT40 = 38.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 51.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 12.1 Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary Looks like I had good reason to give a tepid endorsement to the upside potential for the stock market off the over-stretched … Read more