In Search of Reasons to Hold Advanced Micro Devices

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) soared on news of a big deal with OpenAI but has yet to close at a new all-time high.

Exactly one month ago, I explained I would stick with Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) despite disappointing weakness in shares. I looked through the short-term bearish signal of a technical breakdown (below the 50-day moving average (DMA)) and pinned my expectations on AMD continuing to catchup with a red hot, AI-driven semiconductor industry. When AMD soared … Read more

Bears Break In: Breadth Plunges Further Amid Economic and Political Shocks – The Market Breadth

Bears Break In - Breadth Plunges Further Amid Economic and Political Shocks

Stock Market Commentary Finally the bears break in on all the fun the bulls have had for months. The stock market got overwhelmed with a flood of bad news that was just too difficult to ignore or look through (for now). The July jobs report was not just weak but also it included a massive … Read more

A Red Flag Pullback from the Edge of A Fresh Breakout – The Market Breadth

A Red Flag Pullback from the Edge of A Fresh Breakout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Alexey Ivanov, https://www.flickr.com/photos/39824826@N08/9705943143)

Stock Market Commentary The stock market looked ready to follow through on leaving its troubles behind. The S&P 500 even made a new all-time high. Everything seemed to fall apart on Friday. The final release of consumer expectations as measured by the University Michigan confirmed earlier preliminary numbers: inflation expectations soared and consumer sentiment tanked. … Read more

How Home Builder Stocks Trade In A Seasonal Pattern (2025 Update)

seasonal pattern home builders (Credit: Housing Market by free pictures of money on Flickr)

Introduction The U.S. housing market follows a seasonal pattern. The spring selling season typically represents the year’s peak of activity in the housing market. During this time, households try to settle into a new home before summer travel or well ahead of the Fall start to the next school year. Like retailers who eagerly anticipate … Read more

What Happened to the Homebuilders: A Citigroup Downgrade

What Happened to the Housing Market

Question. When an analyst lowers the price target on a stock to a level still substantially higher than the current price, what do you expect to happen? What if that price target comes with a downgrade from buy to neutral? If you answered lower, you win a prize… a discounted price on homebuilder stocks. A … Read more