ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
When I wrote about the buying opportunity in the wake of an over-reaction to headlines on Peloton Interactive (PTON), I did not consider a scenario where a fresh catalyst quickly appeared to apply renewed downside pressure. Analysts are one of the big hazards of swing trading. The Short Citron Research is a famous short-selling shop. … Read more
The Selling It turns out investors and traders care a lot more about an analyst downgrade than insider selling right under the all-time high….at least when it comes to Roku (ROKU). Morgan Stanley issued a downgrade of Roku from equal-weight to under-weight (aka SELL!) just as the stock market happened to be in one of … Read more
Housing Market Intro/Summary The stocks of home builders are starting to fail their moment of truth. A Moment of Truth Looming Ever Larger On October 25th, the iShares Dow Jones Home Construction ETF (ITB) hit a 21-month high that coincided exactly with a major multi-year peak and post-recession high from January, 2018. The sellers showed … Read more
I have periodically made the case for investing in Invitation Homes (INVH) since its debut in the public markets in February, 2017. The stock was slow-going for two years and even dropped to an all-time low in last year’s stock market sell-off. INVH finally broke out this year. I perked up while watching Nightly Business … Read more
I have written plenty this year about the seasonal top in home builders. I even drew up a game plan to trade this pattern in a way to pay for the bullish trade that opens up during the period of seasonal strength. That seasonal top took its first good hit with a positive pre-earnings announcement … Read more