LGI Homes Reports A Strong December And Takes the Edge off Recent Sell-Off

At the end of 2015, I wrote about the critical tests facing LGI Homes (LGIH). After another strong monthly closing report, LGIH seems more likely to pass the test of financial performance in coming earnings reports, but the technical test remains in place. LGIH reported record results for a single month in December, 2015: 433 … Read more

FXCM Warns of Increased Currency Risks

“We believe there is a chance of disruption and highly illiquid conditions in the forex market during the coming weeks (and/or months). Please be aware that market gaps tend to occur over the weekend – that is, currencies trade at prices considerably distant from previous levels.” This is the warning FXCM, Inc. (FXCM) sent out … Read more

A Nervous Market Pushes Out the Next Fed Rate Hike

For what I think is the first time since the Fed rate hike in December, the market pushed out the timing of the next rate hike. Source: CME Group FedWatch The presumed change in heart has come from the trading chaos in China. Back in September, the Fed used out-sized volatility coming from China’s devaluation … Read more

T2108 Update (January 7, 2016) – Oversold and Dangerous Redux

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 6, 2016) – The S&P 500 Hits 3-Month Low But Still Not Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more