Chipotle Bears Ready For Another Poor Earnings Performance But Watch Pre-Earnings Close

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) reported earnings in July, the stock fell 21.6%. This loss was CMG’s biggest in its almost seven years as a publicly traded company. The stock sold … Read more

T2108 Update (October 15, 2012) – Obligatory Bounce

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

The Case Against the Case Against Gold

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) When the Federal Reserve promises to print money for an indefinite amount of time, it seems obvious to put trashy cash into assets that cannot be so easily manufactured. This shift … Read more

KBH Shines Again But Keep An Eye On California’s Recovering Housing Market

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 14, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) U.S. homebuilders continue to beat a drum of optimism. KB Home (KBH) is no exception. In its July earnings report, KBH established a strategy of “Going on Offense”. KBH provided more … Read more

What To Do with Your Homebuilder Stocks Now

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 28, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Congratulations to those of you who were able to ignore the bears on housing and stick with housing stocks this year. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) has finally recovered all … Read more

T2108 Update (October 12, 2012) – Teetering

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Reviews: Apple, Google, Priceline.com, Siemens, and Facebook

While the general market churns, individual stocks continue to tell unique stories with good trading opportunities. In this chart review, I look at recent developments in Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG), Priceline.com (PCLN), Siemens (SI), and Facebook (FB). Apple (AAPL) AAPL’s technicals continue worsening. On Thursday, October 11, AAPL printed a bearish engulfing pattern that essentially … Read more

T2108 Update (October 10, 2012) – Double Top Looming Larger

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (October 8, 2012) – Double top or bump on the uptrend? (Apple breaks down)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: The Slow Decline of iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT)

The Federal Reserve’s expressed desire for quantitative easing and Operation Twist has been to lower long-term interest rates. The response to the announcement of QE3 on September 13th has not yet generated lower interest rates except for a brief moment. The iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond Fund (TLT) is one way to play long-term … Read more