Oil Looms Over Everything: Energy Prices Pressure Stocks, Commodities, and Bonds – The Market Breadth

oil looms over everything - the market breadth

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Oil prices loom over financial markets. Oil prices are being driven largely by whether the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed following Iran’s retaliation against attacks by the U.S. and Israel. The inverse correlation over the last two weeks has been clear: oil prices up, stock prices down … Read more

Market Fears Expand: War, Soaring Oil, Lost Jobs, AI Tops Out – The Market Breadth

volatility index (VIX)

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary Market fears expanded last week as converging headwinds took their toll on a market that insists on buying every dip. The best example of buying persistence came with the market’s first regular trading session after the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. The S&P 500 gapped down at Monday’s … Read more

A Nervous Calm in the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

a nervous calm for the stock market

Stock Market Commentary The stock market last week was full of a nervous calm. Fed Chair Jerome Powell seemed to muffle the market’s mood after warning that meaningful inflation is yet to come as a result of tariffs. The expiration of the 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs looms over the market with just one major … Read more

Overbought Conditions End with Fresh Market Risk – The Market Breadth

overbought conditions end with fresh market risks

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s fearless streak met fresh geopolitical headwinds that significantly raised the risk quotient. Tensions surged as Israel bombarded Iran’s nuclear infrastructure and Iran retaliated, spiking oil prices and triggering a market sell-off that, while sharp, could have and should have been a lot worse. This fresh market risk is a … Read more

A Triple Whammy Against the Canadian Dollar Spells Opportunity

triple whammy (Credit: peet-astn on Flickr https://flic.kr/p/2mHZyy5)

After Canada experienced a hot inflation print for the month of August (the Consumer Price Index (CPI)), I aggressively declared the Canadian dollar a buy, long Invesco CurrencyShares Canadian Dollar Trust (FXC) and short USD/CAD. I ignored the technicals of support at an upward sloping 50-day moving average (DMA) (the red line below) on USD/CAD … Read more