Support for Another Round of Overbought Conditions in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 13, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 74.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (first overbought day, 17 of last 19 trading days overbought)AT200 = 22.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 36.1 (down 11.5%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary In the last Above the 40 … Read more

Warning Signs, Promising Signs in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 11, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 69.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 16 days overbought)AT200 = 20.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 40.8 (up 48.0%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary It was fun while it lasted. The Federal Reserve delivered its latest … Read more

Panic Buying, Catch-Up Trades Further Extend Overbought Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 5, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 90.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 13 of last 14 trading days)AT200 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (highest since February 26, 2020)VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The on-going recovery in the stock market … Read more

Stock Market Bottoms Ahead of the Worst Jobs News In A Crisis

Purists in the financial markets often decry the “voodoo” of technical analysis. The U.S. jobs report for May, 2020 is an extreme version of how the fundamentals can also fail to provide sufficient guidance for trading and investing in financial markets. Economists and other sooth-sayers in consensus expected the U.S. economy to lose 8.3 million … Read more

An Overbought Stock Market Stretching Past A Hurting Country – Above the 40 (May 29, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 4 of last 5 trading days)AT200 = 25.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 27.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (changed from neutral) Stock Market Commentary It feels surreal to write about the latest machinations … Read more