ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
The Market Breadth Summary Small cap stocks led a market breadth breakout, then faded just short of overbought, leaving me encouraged by momentum but wary of a near-term pullback. The S&P 500 ground to fresh highs, while the NASDAQ lagged by stalling at prior peaks. A clean breakout still awaits for the NASDAQ. CES-driven leadership … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary The market initially welcomed the Fed’s rate cut, but rising long-term yields recreated the same headwinds seen after the October rate cut. A tired AI trade emerged as Oracle, Broadcom, NVIDIA, and semiconductors sold off sharply, pressuring market breadth. Major indices showed signs of topping despite prior strength, especially the NASDAQ … Read more
Stock Market Commentary I am seeing more and more cracks widening in the stock market, and I am getting increasingly concerned. I am trying to stay bullish because the seasonally strong period has started for the stock market. However, after such a strong August, strong September, and strong October, each of which is historically one … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Last week’s trading had something for almost everyone: volatility, churn, recovery, and a bank scare. A familiar story about renewed U.S.–China trade tensions expanded into a larger mosaic of market stress and resilience. Still, given market breadth remains broken, I see a market skating on the edge. The volatility index (VIX) summarizes … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Imagine that. Key support holds firm across the major indices. A telling post-election reversal turned into proof positive that unrelenting bulls remain all-in for the stock market. Not even a further escalation in World War 3 brought pause to the rebounds off support (Russia fired an intermediate-range ballistic missile into Ukraine and … Read more