A Strong Week After Tariff Rumors and Relief – The Market Breadth

bad news is good news (Credit: Yi Chen, The Skeptical Chihuahua, Taipei, on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary The tariff rumors proved true after all. The green shoots of Monday that grew alongside the rumor of a pause presaged Wednesday’s massive relief from a real blink on tariffs. Those historic gains were large enough to generate a strong week broadly across the stock market. Still, as more blinking and backing … Read more

The Bear Market Reasserts Itself – The Market Breadth

bear market intrusion

Stock Market Commentary The S&P 500 delivered only a brief respite from the bear market when it broke out above its 200-day moving average (DMA) to start the week. Two days later, the bear market reasserted itself. Another two days later, the sellers punched an exclamation mark on the bear market as a “hot” inflation … Read more

Can An Oversold Bounce Prevent An October Swoon? – The Market Breadth

prevent October swoon (Credit: Google Workspace Labs - AI generated)

Stock Market Commentary The sentiment shifts following the bounce from oversold conditions swung from bullish and encouraging to tantalizing and disappointing. The stock market has a precarious setup going into a likely October swoon. The prospects for the current oversold bounce to prevent the October swoon hinge on a swirl of technical signs and fundamental … Read more

Itching for Another Scratch At Overbought Conditions – The Market Breadth

itching (Credit: When it's itching... by Tambako the Jaguar on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary The summer of loving stocks survived its first major test. The numbers for the first half of the year put an exclamation on a rally that has defied most expectations. The S&P 500 (SPY) had its 12th best first half since at least 1933 (per Cater Braxton Worth) with a 15.9% gain … Read more

Bulls Fade Fast from the Overbought Frontier – The Market Breadth

fade (Credit: Hercules Wrestling the Bull by carfull...from Wyoming on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The summer of loving stocks is facing its first real test. In the middle of the week, the rally finally failed at the threshold of overbought market breadth. The stock market closed the week with market breadth confirming the end of the primary rally and the start of an important test of … Read more