Above the 40 (October 24, 2018) – The Second Derivative Is Here for the Stock Market (New Oversold Extremes)

AT40 = 11.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 6th day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period (as low as 10.6%) AT200 = 25.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (as low as 26.7%) VIX = 25.2 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Time to take a … Read more

Above the 40 (October 19, 2018) – Swirling Signals from 200DMA Drama And Bearish Breakdowns

AT40 = 16.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) – 3rd day of oversold period following 4-day oversold period AT200 = 33.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 19.9 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Friday was a day with a head-spinning mix of reassuring and ominous … Read more

Above the 40 (October 11, 2018) – Oversold Conditions Deepen In the Stock Market As Breakdowns Worsen

AT40 = 11.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (oversold day #2) AT200 = 31.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs () VIX = 23.0 (an increase of 44.0%) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The market sell-off is unfolding quickly. AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above … Read more

Powell Takes Some Air Out the Dollar, Boosts Gold and Silver

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a speech at Jackson Hole, Wyoming last Friday that seemed to reassure financial markets. The S&P 500 (SPY) finally closed at a new all-time high, and the U.S. dollar cooled off a bit again. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Source: TradingView.com Fundamentally, the speech contained no new news, but it did reaffirm … Read more

A Gold Bottom But Will the U.S. Dollar Cooperate?

Gold, and by extension the SPDR Gold Shares (GLD), has had a rough year. However, based on a historic flip in speculative positioning in gold futures, a bottom is likely in for GLD. According to the tweet and chart below, the net speculative positioning in gold recently went net negative for the first time in … Read more