Watching NVDA Instead of the Jobs Report – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) confirmed a double-top with today’s 3.4% loss. For only the sixth time this year, NVDA closed below its uptrending support at the 20-day moving average (DMA) (the dotted line below). Three of these closes have come in the last three days. The stock is now within “inches” of confirming … Read more

The Grinch Roasted Santa On An Oversold Fire – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary According to Investopedia, the Santa Claus rally “describes a sustained increase in the stock market that occurs in the last week of December through the first two trading days in January.” With the legendary rally still a week away, the S&P 500 (SPY) finds itself priced exactly where it was at the end … Read more

Small Cap Breakout, Pfizer COVID Anti-Viral Boost Bullish Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The first trading week of November was action-packed. At the start of the week I looked ahead to monetary policy from the Federal Reserve and the October jobs report as key catalysts. While those events were indeed important, the stock market was treated to an overlay of at least two other important … Read more

Above the 50 Now Defines Key Measure of Stock Market Breadth

Above the 50, AT50 (MMFI) and Above the 40, AT40 (T2108) are highly correlated.

Above the 50 (AT50) Replaces Above the 40 (AT40) I had a long and rewarding journey using AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs), as my key measure of market breadth. Over the past several years Worden and its TC2000 platform gradually reduced support for the FreeStockCharts platform … Read more

Warnings from Early Divergences in the Oversold Bounce – Above the 40 (July 23, 2021)

Stock Market Commentary The oversold bounce last week exceeded my expectations. I did not expect the week to end with the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ hitting fresh all-time highs. Both indices seemed to offer limited upside for trading oversold conditions.The oversold bounce also disappointed me. I looked to beaten up stocks as the source … Read more