Warning Signs, Promising Signs in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 11, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 69.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 16 days overbought)AT200 = 20.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 40.8 (up 48.0%)Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary It was fun while it lasted. The Federal Reserve delivered its latest … Read more

Panic Buying, Catch-Up Trades Further Extend Overbought Stock Market – Above the 40 (June 5, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 90.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought 13 of last 14 trading days)AT200 = 37.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (highest since February 26, 2020)VIX = 24.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The on-going recovery in the stock market … Read more

Stock Market Rebounds Deeply Into Overbought Trading Conditions – Above the 40 (May 8, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 82.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (overbought day #2)AT200 = 16.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 28.0Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary Winners and losers are becoming more and more distinct in the stock market. While skeptics and bears … Read more

A $2.3 Trillion End to An Extreme Oversold Period in the Stock Market – Above the 40 (April 10, 2020)

AT40 = 24.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 31-day oversold period)AT200 = 10.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 41.7Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary “The Federal Reserve on Thursday took additional actions to provide up to $2.3 trillion in loans to support … Read more

Green Shoots Begin Breaking Through Key Stock Downtrends – Above the 40 (March 24, 2020)

AT40 = 2.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (20th oversold day)AT200 = 3.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 61.7Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The week did not start as I feared with a 5th circuit breaker shut-down … Read more