Apple Breaks Down But Reasons to Expect Future Upside Remain

The 200-day moving average (DMA) has been Apple’s friend since the stock bounced from its March, 2009 lows. A break during June, 2011 was short-lived and the stock survived two more tests of this critical long-term support later that year. Starting in January of this year, Apple (AAPL) pulled sharply away from its 200DMA until … Read more

Buy the Dips As The Post-Earnings Trade in Amazon.com Continues To Deliver

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 30, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) For the second earnings cycle in a row, I failed to execute the post-earnings trading strategy for Amazon.com (AMZN) to buy the open (see “After Amazon.com Earnings, Buy The Stock At … Read more

Amazon.com Closes In On Its Endgame As Sales Taxes Loom

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “Tax Break Nears End For Online Shoppers“, the Wall Street Journal reports that the final dominoes appear to be falling in favor of providing states authority to tax online retailers. … Read more

Chart Review: Amazon Flips Back to Bullish

The opportunity to go short on Amazon.com (AMZN) was short-lived. Just last week I pointed out how AMZN triggered a post-earnings short again. I missed the first breakdown and was looking to play a second move down. It was not to be. Instead, on Monday, AMZN flipped back into bullish territory. I followed suit by … Read more

Chart Review: Amazon Triggers Post-Earnings Short

On May 18th, I wrote that Amazon.com (AMZN) had triggered a post-earnings short by closing below the low of trading in the immediate aftermath of the last earnings report (at $220). However, I did not recommend pulling the trigger because the market was oversold at the time. Surprisingly, AMZN did not benefit from the market’s … Read more

Amazon.com Triggers Signal To Short – But Do Not Pull The Trigger Yet

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 18, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Amazon.com (AMZN) reported earnings April 26th and soared in the after-hours about 22%. At the time, I decided to call an “audible” on the AMZN post-earnings play and avoid the trade … Read more

Calling An Audible On Amazon.com Post-Earnings Play: Buy the Dip, Not the Open

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 27, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) After Amazon.com’s (AMZN) last earnings at the end of January, I recommended buying the stock (or call options) right at the open based on historical trading patterns (see “Why Amazon.com Was … Read more

T2108 Update – March 28, 2012 (Buyers Defend Latest Breakout)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are posted on twitter using the #120trade hashtag) T2108 Status: 54% VIX Status: 15.5% … Read more

What’s Next and Lessons Learned After the Success of Amazon.com’s Post-Earnings Trade

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 21, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Congratulations to everyone who took on the post-earnings trade on Amazon.com (AMZN). Hopefully, you have locked in your profits by now given the 2-week timeframe for the trade. It is now … Read more

Quantifying Why Amazon.com Was A Buy At the Open After Reporting Earnings

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 6, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Soon after Amazon.com (AMZN) reported earnings last Tuesday, I wrote a post concluding that AMZN stock was worth a buy as soon as the stock opened for trading on Wednesday. This … Read more