T2108 Update (November 4, 2014) – Close Calls And A Pause In the Action

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (October 24, 2014) – A Critical Test for the Bears

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Using Machine Learning To Tease Out A Dynamic Pricing Algorithm

{Time for something different again! This piece is a follow-up and is originally posted on my Thought Blog with Ahan Analytics, LLC: http://ahan-analytics.drduru.com/thoughtblog/2013/12/07/machine-learning-dynamic-pricing/} On November 29, 2013, I wrote a piece titled “Not Worth the Cost: A 17-Month Case Study of Congestion Pricing in the SF Bay Area.” In that piece, I presented data I … Read more

Not Worth the Cost: A 17-Month Case Study of Congestion Pricing in the SF Bay Area

{And now for something different! This piece was produced for my “Thought Blog” at Ahan Analytics, LLC} On March 20, 2012, the Valley Transportation Authority (VTA) implemented congestion (or dynamic) pricing on a critical San Francisco Bay Area thoroughfare called Highway 237 that primarily connects commuters from the East Bay to the South Bay. This … Read more

Chart Review: BlackBerry, Fossil, Amazon.com, Devry, CSX, Coach, Capital One Financial, Apple

For this chartfest, I do not have time to provide extensive commentary. So, this is mostly a visual presentation of the charts with some labels or notes to point your attention to what I think is most interesting from a trading perspective. Feel free to post questions if anything is not clear. Enjoy…! I have … Read more

Chart Review: Autozone on the Edge of a Breakout

Autozone (AZO) was a banner stock coming out of the 2001 recession. In 2001 alone, AZO logged a 152% gain. Over the next six years, AZO gained another 67%. During the financial panic in 2008, AZO plunged but did not even come close to erasing all those hard-fought gains. In 2009, the stock barely paused … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Resistance; Priceline.com and Siemens Breakout

Apple (AAPL) In one month, Apple (AAPL) has gone absolutely nowhere while remaining under critical resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA). In between, AAPL printed an impressive hammer which created a bottom in the stock right above the $500 level. The hammer pattern printed what now looks like a classic washout day of selling … Read more

priceline.com Breaks Out As Post-Earnings Recovery Continues

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 23, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Over a month ago I wrote that priceline.com (PCLN) was not likely to recover its post-earnings losses in the near-term. Based on the bearish commentary on its European business and reminders … Read more

priceline.com Not Likely To Recover Post-Earnings Losses In the Near-Term

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Wednesday, August 8th was a rough day for priceline.com (PCLN). The company significantly pulled back current quarter revenue and earnings guidance based on expectations for poor performance in Europe: {snip} Moreover, … Read more

Chart Review: priceline.com’s 2012 RoundTrip (and levels to watch)

Wednesday was a rough day for priceline.com (PCLN). The company significantly pulled back current quarter revenue and earnings guidance based on expectations for poor performance in Europe. Europe represents 60% of PCLN’s revenues. It is a wonder that Europe is only just now dragging down results. In fact, PCLN spent almost three months of this … Read more