T2108 Update (September 23, 2014) – A Market Over-stretched and Still Primed to Fall

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (September 22, 2014) – A Bearish Chill

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The Apple Trading Model (Re)Explained

The Apple Trading Model (ATM) has become one of my favorite trading tools. I am writing this post to serve as a clear and comprehensive reference point when I write about it in future posts. Interested traders should bookmark this page. (As of writing, my last major AAPL post was another sentiment analysis that ended … Read more

T2108 Update (August 1, 2014) – Oversold In Spirit

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (July 31, 2014) – Market Sells Off As Sellers Decide to Sell, Delivering Quasi-Oversold Trading Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

It Was A Great Day for Amazon.com: A Post-Earnings View

Everywhere I read or watched coverage of Amazon.com’s earnings announcement, the theme was “are investors fed up with Amazon.com’s constant spending and lack of profits???” I have never understood why investors are willing to cut Amazon.com (AMZN) so much slack, but it is a resilience that should be held in awe…and traded. Over the past … Read more

The Apple Pre-Earnings Trade: July, 2014 Edition

It is earnings time for Apple (AAPL). Expectations are undoubtedly high after April’s huge post-earnings surge – the 8.2% one-day gain is, since 2007, second only to the 8.9% gain in April, 2012. The subsequent run-up certainly has me thinking AAPL has confirmed my expectations for eventual all-time highs. It is now time to temper … Read more

A Trading Check-In for Apple’s First Post-Split Week

Apple (AAPL) finished its first post-split week in disappointing fashion. Sure a sell on the news reaction should have been expected, but the strong trade going into the split, right through the Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC), produced some hope AAPL could hold its own. Apple even entered the week featuring a dramatic shift in trading … Read more

Apple Trading Model – Preparing for A Potential Change In Trading Patterns

Trading in Apple is likely to make a notable change in the coming weeks and months. The Apple Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) begins June 2nd. According to my analysis of trading around the WWDC since 2000, traders treat this event as a “buy the rumor, sell the news” kind of event (see “Buy The Rumor, … Read more

T2108 Update (April 7, 2014) – From Overbought to Quasi-Oversold in Three Days Flat

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more