A Respite from Rising Rates – Housing Market Review

respite (Credit: Short respite for the Ruby Mountain Crew while cutting fire line in Division W by USFS Rocky Mtns from Flickr)

Housing Market Intro and Summary In my last Housing Market Review, I described how a housing recession was reflected in the worsening housing data, including the latest report on U.S. GDP. While new home sales made another surprise bounce in October, the rest of the housing data continued to worsen in the month. However, a … Read more

Another Bearish Failure At Overbought Levels – The Market Breadth

failure (credit: Good example of Crossfit Weight lifting - In Crossfit Always lift until you reach the point of Failure or you tear something by CrossfitPaleoDietFitnessClasses from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The people of China have now suffered three years of various draconian lockdowns meant to contain the spread of COVID-19. The latest lockdowns remind a suffering populace that there remains no end in sight for this extended kind of public health authoritarianism. Apparently, the frustrations are boiling over enough to motivate people … Read more

A Reluctant Return to Overbought Trading Conditions – The Market Breadth

reluctant (Credit: Reluctant Goose by judy_and_ed on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The holiday-shortened week brought a reluctant return to overbought trading conditions. Buyers nudged the indices higher inch by inch after Monday’s slightly down open. The Fed-speak that returned the stock market to bearish trading conditions faded out of view. Looking ahead, the promise of seasonal strength once again beckons reluctant buyers. If … Read more

Bullard Feeds A Bearish Trading Signal – The Market Breadth

bullard feeds bears (Credit: Don't feed bears by wili_hybrid, from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard did his best to dissuade financial markets from optimistic interpretations of recent softish inflation reports. The press release summarizing recent remarks was enough to send chills in the Fed pause/plateau/pivot theorists: “the policy rate is not yet in a zone that may be … Read more

From Distraught to Overbought In A Flash – The Market Breadth

distraught to overbought (Credit: Shopping cart at Weis by SchuminWeb from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary: The latest cryptocurrency scandal and implosion distracted the market (and me) from the upside potential of the October CPI (Consumer Price Index) report. Likely contagion, real and psychological, from crashing crypto prices helped drive distraught trading that created technical breakdowns across the major indices. U.S. midterm elections on Tuesday also apparently failed … Read more