Rolling Crypto Crises Test the Google Trends Momentum Check

crypto crises (Credit: Bitcoin broken in half on white background by wuestenigel on Flickr)

I will remember 2022 as the year of rolling crypto crises. One disaster after another undermined confidence in the ecosystem and forced changes in the bullish narratives for crypto. Through it all, the Google Trends Momentum Check (GTMC) stepped up to the test as a technical signal for short-term bottoms in Bitcoin. These crises did … Read more

Colwater Creek Throws the Kitchen Sink At Investors: Lessons for Trading At the Edge of Bankruptcy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last month Coldwater Creek (CWTR) issued an earnings report that made it pretty clear the company is headed toward bankruptcy unless it finds an 11th hour savior. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com The … Read more

Centrotherm Photovoltaics Bankruptcy Places Yellow Flag Above GT Advanced Technologies

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Almost two years ago, I wrote about Centrohterm Photovoltaics because of big equipment contracts the company signed with state-owned enterprises in China (see “Centrotherm Photovoltaics Continues Its Success in China“). {snip} … Read more

How to Play First Solar Until A Savior Arrives

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 7, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) When Energy Conversion Devices (ENERQ.PK) filed for bankruptcy in mid-February, I wrote “The Solar Fun Is Done For Now.” I should have also said that the “horror show has just begun” … Read more

Reflections on Eastman Kodak and the “Bankruptcy Trade”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 22, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) So Eastman Kodak (EKDKQ.PK) was rearranging chairs on the deck of the Titanic after all. Late Wednesday night (January 18), Kodak announced that it will file a voluntary bankruptcy using an … Read more

AMR’s Bankruptcy Turns the Cost Spotlight on Southwest

On December 5, Southwest Airlines (LUV) CEO Gary Kelly distributed a memo to employees describing the cost challenge ahead for the company (for example, see Bloomberg article “Southwest Fights ‘Cost Enemy’ After AMR Bankruptcy Filing“). With American Airlines (AMR) declaring bankruptcy as a way to cut its costs, Southwest became the last major carrier yet … Read more

For AMR, Parent of American Airlines, Bankruptcy is Contagious

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 30, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) “Now we have the potential to overcome the last hurdle between us and lasting success, by achieving a competitive cost and capital structure.” – Tim Horton, Chairman, CEO, and President of … Read more

Insider Buying Major Fail: Jon Corzine and MF Global

I am a big fan of trading on insider buying (for example, see “The Market Is Ignoring These Insider Buys, But You Should Not“). So when I read that Jon Corzine had invested $3M of his own money in now bankrupt MF Global, shivers went up my spine. In “Why MF Global’s Collapse Matters“, Brett … Read more