Above the 40 (February 15, 2016) – S&P 500 Passes A Key Post Oversold Test

AT40 = 31.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 49.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 19.1 Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary The S&P 500 (SPY) joined the NASDAQ and PowerShares QQQ ETF (QQQ) by closing above its 50-day moving average (DMA). The move … Read more

A New Breakout for Cocoa as Ghana Falls Short

It was a welcome turn of fortune for iPath® Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB). In a week where global stock markets took a sharp tumble, NIB followed through on an important technical breakout. The week started ominously when NIB sold off and dove back below its 50 and 200-day moving averages (DMAs). After that setback, … Read more

Trading An Iron Ore Top: Prices Stall Amid Record Chinese Imports and Inventories

Iron ore may have reached a new inflection point with a price rally coming to a halt in January and some related stocks consolidating near multi-year highs. When I last made an iron ore trade in September, 2017, I was responding to a surprise projection from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) that suggested a … Read more

ShotSpotter: The Good News Alongside Motorola’s Stock Sale

One part of the bear case for ShotSpotter (SSTI) is that insiders are eager to dump their positions, and their selling will crush the stock. It turned out that company executives were eager and willing to BUY company shares. When it came time for a significant holder to sell, SSTI sailed through the event just … Read more

Above the 40 (December 15, 2017) – The Pause That Refreshed the Stock Market

AT40 = 59.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 59.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 9.4 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary The market fatigue I pointed out last week lasted just one more day. In the spirit of this relentless bull market, … Read more