ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary Last week’s scene from the summer of discontent included hand-wringing over the June inflation report. However, almost “quietly”, Apple Inc (APPL) pulled off a technical breakout contrary to the current bear market (especially for technology stocks). The previous week, AAPL confirmed a breakout above resistance at its 50-day moving average (DMA) (the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: The stock market is delivering fertile ground for bear market green shoots. Market breadth in the form of AT50 (MMFI), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 50-day moving averages (DMAs), closed at a one month high. Under the hood are individual stocks achieving convincing 50DMA breakouts and closing out primary … Read more
After presenting my conditions for bottoming across the collection of ARK funds, the funds suffered a serious setback in the bottoming process. Some funds hit new lows and others cracked critical support levels. The stock market’s rebound from oversold conditions helped turn the tide and sentiment on the ARK funds. Interestingly, performance relative to key … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Traders switched up sentiment in the stock market with a flash. After struggling under the shadow of the bear for nearly two weeks, buyers made a bullish dash for stocks. The major indices flipped from key fades at critical resistance to convincing slices through key resistance. The broad based buying put a … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Good employment news came in the form of the May jobs report. The unemployment rate stayed flat at 3.6% while the U.S. economy added 390,000 jobs. Both the number of unemployed and the unemployment rate are essentially back to the pre-pandemic levels of February, 2020. The labor force participation rate remains 1.1% … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: With the prospects of a bottom for this bear market, I am getting a little more interested in individual stock narratives. The bear market rubble is extensive. The gems are dispersed across a wide area. These stock charts provide one framework for sifting through the trash and the opportunity. {note: in this … Read more
Stock Market Commentary After 8 weeks of downward selling pressure, it is hard to pivot thinking on the stock market. Yet, the technical situation requires just such a switch. While the first oversold dip of May was unconvincing, I did flip (cautiously) bullish after the stock market closed oversold for the first time in 519 … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: “The U.S. economy remains fundamentally strong, despite recent mixed data. Recent developments have increased the risk of a future adverse outcome. Our fortress principles are designed to withstandany operating environment.” JP Morgan Chase & Co (JPM), Investor Day 2022, Firm Overview, page 12 Starting from oversold conditions, the market was looking for … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell reminded the market one more time about the Fed’s determination to fight inflation with normalized monetary policy, and the market cared for the briefest of moments. After the anti-inflation dust settled, the major indices closed trading on a strong note. For example, the extended oversold period came … Read more
Stock Market Commentary: Some stocks benefit greatly from an oversold bounce. Some stocks continue to dampen the mood. Today, retailers bruised an otherwise impressive continuation of the oversold bounce in the stock market. With retailers weighing down the market with poor implications for the macro environment, caution remains warranted. Still, the rebounds in the most … Read more