Post-Election Reversal Tests Support After Confirming Bearish Signal – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) roundtripped to its post-election open, converging with the October high and 20DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market has a natural law of “physics.” Overly enthusiastic trading, whether up or down, eventually meets an opposite and sometimes equal force. This natural instability of extremes forms a basis of my market breadth trading rules. The enthusiastic post-election surge exhausted buyers enough to create a post-election reversal. Moreover, my … Read more

A Defiant Fed, Unrelenting Bulls – The Market Breadth

A Defiant Fed, Unrelenting Bulls – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve took the stage right after the U.S. presidential election. The Federal Reserve and Fed Chair Jerome Powell delivered as expected. The unrelenting bulls had no reason to stop the momentum from the post-election rally. Powell stuck to the Fed’s script and unrelenting bulls kept charging. The uneventful meeting had … Read more

Fades Press On Market Supports Ahead of the Election – The Market Breadth

fade (Credit: Hercules Wrestling the Bull by carfull...from Wyoming on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary Fades were on display, especially on Thursday, as the stock market showed signs of exhaustion. Bad news in and for the semiconductor industry seemed to motivate sellers. For example, earnings for Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) seemed to release some steam on hyped expectations for the AI chips both companies will … Read more

Another Bear Teaser With Bearish Engulfing Tops – The Market Breadth

Another Bear Teaser With Bearish Engulfing Tops – The Market Breadth (Credit: Dr-Chomp, https://www.flickr.com/photos/14797480@N08/27444404625)

Stock Market Commentary Bearish engulfing patterns flag potential tops at the end of uptrends. They represent the potential exhaustion of buying power as price first opens above the previous day’s high and then closes below the previous day’s close. Thus, the latest round of bearish engulfing patterns in major indices and major stocks should be … Read more

All-Time Highs Defy October’s Warnings – The Market Breadth

All-Time Highs Defy October’s Warnings – The Market Breadth (Credit: zoe kahana, https://www.flickr.com/photos/25093808@N00/225536122)

Stock Market Commentary October is the third of the stock market’s three most dangerous months. October, 2024 started with a convergence of bad news tailor-made to fulfill October’s seasonal destiny: intensifying war and geo-political tensions, two intense hurricanes, the looming contentiousness of the U.S. presidential election, another failure from the overbought threshold (bearish according to … Read more