Still On Breadth’s Edge of A Breakdown – The Market Breadth

AT50 (MMFI) closed at 41.4%, holding barely above its prior low, showing short-term market breadth remained fragile at breadth's edge.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market started the week in familiar melt-up mode, supported by a (temporary) thaw in the economic war between the U.S. and China. Optimism persisted until the Federal Reserve weighed in with its latest announcement on monetary policy, when Chair Jerome Powell balked at the idea of a December rate cut. … Read more

A Tentative Market Celebration for Slowing Employment – The Market Breadth

a tentative market celebration for slowing employment

Stock Market Commentary In a flashback to August’s opening trading salvo, September trading started with a sharp pullback. The decline fit the standard theme of “professional” traders and investors returning from summer vacations to take profits from a market levitating on low volume vapors. However, sensing redux price action, the market’s persistent buyers jumped right … Read more

Bears Break In: Breadth Plunges Further Amid Economic and Political Shocks – The Market Breadth

Bears Break In - Breadth Plunges Further Amid Economic and Political Shocks

Stock Market Commentary Finally the bears break in on all the fun the bulls have had for months. The stock market got overwhelmed with a flood of bad news that was just too difficult to ignore or look through (for now). The July jobs report was not just weak but also it included a massive … Read more

In A Bear Market There Is NO SUPPORT! – The Market Breadth

In A Bear Market There Is No Support

Stock Market Commentary There is no support in a bear market. The market is extremely volatile, and conditions are changing daily. The market is showing clear signs of weakness, with all major trends pointing downward. The mixed messages from yesterday (Thursday) are converging more clearly on the messages of a bear market. The long-term, mid-term, … Read more

Post-Election Reversal Tests Support After Confirming Bearish Signal – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) roundtripped to its post-election open, converging with the October high and 20DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market has a natural law of “physics.” Overly enthusiastic trading, whether up or down, eventually meets an opposite and sometimes equal force. This natural instability of extremes forms a basis of my market breadth trading rules. The enthusiastic post-election surge exhausted buyers enough to create a post-election reversal. Moreover, my … Read more