A Stock Market Waiting for the Next Buy Signal – The Market Breadth

waiting out the rate cycle (Credit: waiting by max_thinks_sees on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary At the beginning of August, you might have looked uninformed predicting that the S&P 500 would end up printing its 4th straight monthly gain. At its lows, the index wiped out gains from the previous two months and almost reversed May as well. Now, the index hovers just below its all-time high … Read more

The Time Has Come…For A New Overbought Period – The Market Breadth

The Time Has Come For A New Overbought Period – The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary This year’s Jackson Hole confab hosted by the Kansas City Federal Reserve delivered for financial markets. In his prepared speech, Fed Chair Jerome Powell issued an historic and classic sound bite for all of the history of monetary policy (emphasis mine): “The time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of … Read more

Retail Stocks Underline Market’s V-Shaped Recovery from Calamity – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) has made a near full recovery back to all-time highs, bouncing back from the early August calamity.

Stock Market Commentary The stock market’s V-shaped recovery finished reversing most of the losses from the August calamity. Small caps are once again the laggards. During this recovery the market swung from recessions fears to recession relief. The prospects for interest rate cuts no longer seemed to matter on either side of the V-shape. The … Read more

A Critical Long-Term Trend Line Emerges As Stocks Near Oversold Conditions – The Market Breadth

The NASDAQ (COMPQ) rebounded from its 200DMA support and salvaged a 3.4% loss from a 6.3% loss.

Stock Market Commentary Be ready so that you don’t have to get ready. A perfect storm of fears converged upon the market at today’s open. Recession fears, deleveraging from the end of the carry trade, and perhaps even fresh geopolitical fears from the Middle East, spun the market even further off the road. Retail brokerage … Read more

Rate Cut Fears Spin Market Rotation Off the Road – The Market Breadth

Rate Cut Fears Spin Market Rotation Off the Road - The Market Breadth (Credit: Torrenegra https://flic.kr/p/d2eFsh)

Stock Market Commentary Welcome to the start of the stock market’s three most dangerous months of the year. A weak jobs report for July helped to send market sentiment into a sharp reversal. The bad economic news suddenly turned the prospect of rate cuts into something to fear. These rate cut fears spun the market … Read more