A DeepSeek Dive and A Tariff Toll – The Market Breadth

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) failed to recover from its DeepSeek dive, barely clinging to 200DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary A DeepSeek dive stole the headlines from the Federal Reserve. At the same time, tariff headlines refused to go away. Assuming you have already gotten your fill of DeepSeek headlines, I will just summarize the drama by saying a Chinese start-up has apparently completely up-ended the economics of the AI universe. DeepSeek’s … Read more

Oversold Enough Confirmed With All-Time High Redux – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) continued to rise after its recent 50DMA breakout, managing to set a new all-time high.

Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I concluded that the stock market had reached “oversold enough” trading conditions. Last week confirmed an oversold low as market breadth rapidly broadened and supported an all-time high redux for the S&P 500. Yet, this revival comes with important caveats. Uncertainty looms over the Federal Reserve’s next moves even … Read more

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth

Early Santa Rally Fails to Fade Fed Fallout – The Market Breadth (Credit: Matti Mattila on Flickr: https://www.flickr.com/photos/65448940@N00/3054240654)

Stock Market Commentary Investopedia defines the Santa Rally very precisely: “A Santa Claus rally refers to the sustained increases found in the stock market during the last five trading days of December through the first two trading days of January.” Based on this definition, Santa is failing…and just as the stock market risks a January … Read more

Stocks Stand By While China and Yen Surge – The Market Breadth

stand by (Credit: Mark Hodson Photos, www.101holidays.co.uk)

Stock Market Commentary The U.S. stock market hardly reflected last week’s action-packed news. China scrambled to address a weakening economy with a massive stimulus program with news rolling nearly all week. In Japan, voters elected a Prime Minister who favors a stronger currency in the Japanese yen (FXY). Capping the anti-climactic feeling in U.S. stocks, … Read more

A Stock Market Waiting for the Next Buy Signal – The Market Breadth

waiting out the rate cycle (Credit: waiting by max_thinks_sees on Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary At the beginning of August, you might have looked uninformed predicting that the S&P 500 would end up printing its 4th straight monthly gain. At its lows, the index wiped out gains from the previous two months and almost reversed May as well. Now, the index hovers just below its all-time high … Read more