Market Calm Returns Following One-Day Trade Shock – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) confirmed resistance after it moved away from the first post-election close line, failing to confirm a breakout for the second time.

Stock Market Commentary This week brought a return of market calm across the stock market following a sharp but brief trade-induced shock. The episode began with President Trump’s threat of significant tariffs on Europe (and foreign-made iPhones), which rattled the market. However, that fear evaporated after Trump walked back his threats with a 90-day pause … Read more

Overbought Trading Conditions, Yet Still Bullish – The Market Breadth

Overbought Trading Conditions, Yet Still Bullish

Stock Market Commentary We made it through another week without any major negative headlines impacting the stock market. Although late-breaking news took futures down due to Moody’s dropping the U.S. from its top credit rating, marking the loss of the last top-tier assessment of U.S. government debt, I expect the market impact to be minimal. … Read more

A Hiccup in the Oversold Bounce from Weak GDP – The Market Breadth

A Hiccup In the Oversold Bounce from Weak GDP - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The stock market experienced a hiccup in an otherwise strong post-oversold bounce. The Q1 GDP report revealed a small contraction that surprisingly caught the market off guard. However, this contraction was driven primarily by a surge in imports as businesses rushed to get ahead of anticipated tariffs. I assume a lot of … Read more

Overdue Relief Comes to the Stock Market – The Market Breadth

Overdue Relief Comes to the Stock Market

Stock Market Commentary Last week marked an important shift as the stock market experienced overdue relief. Most notably, there were no major headlines causing significant disruptions in financial markets. Instead, the market continued the theme of recovery from the previous week, driven by policymakers pivoting their messaging about the economic chaos triggered by policies and … Read more

Tariff Crash Trading Plan: Chaos Edition – The Market Breadth

tariff crash trading plan - chaos edition

Stock Market Commentary The stock market fell into chaos all over again as the U.S. retaliated against China’s tariff retaliation, hiking tariffs up to 104%. This escalation halted a rally that started as solid follow-through from the bullish engulfing bottom from the previous trading day. The whipsaw action underscored the fragility of technical setups in … Read more