A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Saturday, the People’s Bank of China cut its benchmark interest rates by 0.25 percentage points (25 basis points). Yet, as of the open of Asian trading, the Australian dollar (FXA) … Read more

T2108 Update (February 20, 2015) – All-Time Highs Increase Technical Tensions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Australia’s Heating Housing Market Pressures Monetary Policy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 11, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its December, 2014 data on housing finance in Australia. The data show that first-time home buyers continue to decline as a percentage of all dwellings … Read more

T2108 Update (February 5, 2015) – A Continued Surge Toward Overbought Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 15, 2015) – Like So Much Paper Flailing in the Ill Winds

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Short the Franc Even As Negative Rates Are Proving Insufficient to End Strength Versus the Euro

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 5, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Don’t look now, but the Swiss franc (FXF) is seemingly back for another test of the 1.20 currency floor against the euro (FXE). When the market forced the hand of the … Read more

Currency Markets Once Again Force the Hand of the Swiss National Bank

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 18, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Swiss National Bank (SNB) reacted swiftly. It could have just been a “fat finger” trade an hour before U.S. trading began. In an instant, the euro (FXE) vs Swiss Franc … Read more

Swiss National Bank Revises Forecasts Downward for Negative Inflation In 2015

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 11, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) According to the Swiss National Bank (SNB), inflation is returning to negative territory in 2015. In its December 11, 2014 assessment of monetary policy, the SNB once again adjusted its inflation … Read more

The Swiss Franc Quietly Returns to Early 2013 Levels

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) In August, 2011, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) took a series of extreme measures to attempt to arrest an accelerating strengthening in the Swiss franc (FXB). These measures culminated in establishing … Read more