T2108 Update (November 3, 2015) – Overbought Conditions Remain Tantalizingly Elusive

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Eros International: Potential Trades On A Likely Binary Outcome

The recent plunge in Eros International (EROS) is finally getting some mainstream media attention in the U.S. Bloomberg ran a story on Friday, October 23. This attention finally prodded EROS management to issue a statement about the latest drama in its stock. Reuters quickly followed with a story on that press release. Forbes Asia did … Read more

The Disney Trade: A Two-Month Update

Two months ago I wrote “Disney’s Bearish Breakdown: A Case Study of Risk Management for Long-Term Investors” as a model for how to both respect a bearish development in a stock while staying focused on the long-term potential. Disney has already left those bearish tidings behind and is now ripping higher ahead of earnings on … Read more

The Mysterious Plunge in Eros International

On October 13, 2015, Eros International, Plc (EROS), a major distributor and producer of Indian entertainment, held its inaugural Investor Day. The stock has been plunging ever since. Source: FreeStockCharts.com I have been tracking this stock ever more closely since the first big drop. I enjoy Bollywood flicks, Bhangra, and Indian pop music, so I … Read more

Saving Money On Cable – Inside the Experience of A Cord-Cutter

It was early August, 2015 and Disney (DIS) had just created a ruckus by addressing “cord-cutting” and admitting softer than expected results at ESPN. Cord-cutting is the practice of cancelling subscription or pay-tv services like cable TV in favor of cheaper alternatives (including not watching TV at all). There is also growing interest in “never … Read more

Disney’s Bearish Breakdown: A Case Study of Risk Management for Long-Term Investors

The stock of Disney (DIS) has suffered a massive and very bearish breakdown this month. At the time of writing, the stock has lost 19% since closing at its last all-time high. Source: FreeStockCharts.com Disney’s first breakdown came earlier this month. The stock lost 9.2% and closed below its 50-day moving average (DMA) on extremely … Read more

T2108 Update (August 20, 2015) – A Broad and Bearish Breakdown for the Stock Market

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (August 5, 2015) – The “Fleckenstein Indicator” Flashes Bright Red

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more