ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Stock Market Commentary The stock market continued its streak of trickiness. Buyers and sellers played a fierce bear-bull battle starting with one of the biggest fake-out one-day rallies since last September 2nd’s near parabolic run-up. Fresh money flowed into funds to start the month of March to for gains of 2.4% on the S&P 500 … Read more
ReneSola (SOL) is down 64.9% from its near 10-year high set in January. The company celebrated that high by announcing a secondary stock offering…its fifth in 4 months. SOL came back stronger and better from the first four secondaries of the series. The fifth secondary stock offering finally broke the bank (meaning ReneSola overwhelmed the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The stock market got quite tricky last week. A day after buyers re-established control, sellers returned with a sustained fury. The selling on Thursday reflected the stock market’s split personality while the follow-up selling on Friday seemed broader. The pressure on the the stock market looks like an ominous setup for March … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The split personality of the stock market resolved into major breakdowns in the stock market on Tuesday…for about 30 minutes. Apparently increasing inflation fears gave way to the soothing words of Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell at the Fed’s semiannual monetary policy report to Congress. Buyers quickly met the latest sharp and … Read more
Stock Market Commentary The week ended with a split personality. While the S&P 500 meandered and the NASDAQ flattened, small caps rebounded convincingly. Financials also forged ahead. As a result, the recent end to overbought conditions may only signal (mild) bearish conditions for a portion of the stock market. The Stock Market Indices The S&P … Read more
If the housing market remains strong through 2021, Meritage Homes (MTH) may be one of the best catch-up trades in the cohort of major home builders. MTH hit an all-time high 4 months ago in October. Since September, MTH’s valuation has dropped from 2.0 (expensive!) price/book to 1.4, 1.1 price/sales to 0.7, 12.8 to 8.1 … Read more
“We are confident our positive trajectory will continue as not only did our fourth quarter net new contracts increase 45% over last year but we have seen our sales pace accelerate, with December up 54% and January increasing 77%. We are solidly positioned with a backlog of 3,439 sold homes, an increase of 66%, along … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Sellers beat a hasty retreat from the stock market as another bearish signal enjoyed a fleeting existence. The last bearish period lasted about three days. The previous bearish period barely survived a day. The stock market’s ability to quickly wipe away bearish signals is impressive. The buying force over the last week … Read more
Almost two years have passed since I first wrote about the promise of Soliton for tattoo removal. Since then, the company expanded its indications to include cellulite removal. Soliton (SOLY) is currently rallying apparently in anticipation of news from the FDA on the cellulite application. Next, the coronavirus pandemic delayed plans for a 2020 launch. … Read more
Stock Market Commentary A liquidity-driven bounce off support took a small breather last week. The major stock market indices ended the week with a small loss. On the way there, overbought trading conditions ended for a day. As the major indices languished, the stock market dipped in and out of overbought conditions on an intraday … Read more