T2108 Update (September 13, 2013) – Laying In Wait

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

I Am Sticking With Gold: A Critique Of “The Golden Dilemma”

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 29, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} When King uttered these words in his final Inflation Report as Governor of the Bank of England (BoE), there was no sudden surge in interest rates or sell-offs in financial … Read more

Market Mood Swings Toward An End to the U.S. Dollar’s Latest Rally

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 11, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Ordinarily, I would have called Wednesday’s (July 10, 2013) close on the S&P 500 (SPY) a stalemate that potentially signals a reversal in fortunes for the index. The flat close occurred … Read more

Forex Falllout From the Fed’s Latest Decision On Monetary Policy

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 20, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The Federal Reserve announcement sounded a bit like something former governor Mervyn King might say about the prospects for the Bank of England’s bond purchase program: {snip} I imagine believers … Read more

Employment Numbers Bring Australian Dollar’s Rally to A Halt

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 12, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) Financial markets must have had extremely optimistic expectations for Australia’s August employment numbers. Right after the release of the employment statistics on September 12th (Australian time), the Australian dollar (FXA) pulled … Read more