Australian Officials Further Signal Lower Rates to Come

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 2, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) This week featured two interesting speeches by Australian officials. On October 30, Philip Lowe, Deputy Governor for the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), gave a speech at the Commonwealth Bank Australasian … Read more

Apple Breaks Down But Reasons to Expect Future Upside Remain

The 200-day moving average (DMA) has been Apple’s friend since the stock bounced from its March, 2009 lows. A break during June, 2011 was short-lived and the stock survived two more tests of this critical long-term support later that year. Starting in January of this year, Apple (AAPL) pulled sharply away from its 200DMA until … Read more

T2108 Update (November 2, 2012) – Churn and Burn

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Icahn Lights A Fire of Hope Under Netflix

Suddenly, I have to take an acquisition of Netflix (NFLX) a little more seriously. At the end of October, iconic deal shaker and maker Carl Icahn disclosed an almost 10% stake of 5,541,066 shares in Netflix (NFLX), indicating HE thinks NFLX is deal-making material. From the filing under “Purpose of Transaction”: “The Reporting Persons acquired … Read more

Chart Review Update: Netflix Surge Closes Post-Earnings Gap Down

Just last week, I noted how Netflix (NFLX) neatly confirmed a bearish abandoned baby top with another earnings implosion. However, I did not discuss in more detail the implications of the stock’s strong bounce from its lows on the day although I tweeted about it. The following day, NFLX had a strong day marginally closing … Read more

The Reserve Bank of Australia Signals It Will Follow Market Forecasts For Lower Rates

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Tonight, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) released its minutes for its October 2nd meeting where it cut interest rates 25 basis points to 3.25%. I was looking for a more … Read more

Surprisingly Strong UK GDP Tests British Pound’s Downtrend

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 28, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) The British pound (FXB) was falling fast going into last week’s GDP number. The pound even broke through support at its 50-day moving average (DMA). It seemed like momentum was setting … Read more

T2108 Update (October 27, 2012) – Clinging to Support

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: Breakdowns for Cisco, Starbucks, Monster, priceline.com, Netflix, and Bed, Bath, and Beyond

Earnings season is creating its usual spectacle of fascinating charts. Here is a sample of the ones catching my eye right now: Breakdowns Cisco Systems (CSCO) On August 16th, CSCO jumped 9.6% in response to a positive earnings report. CSCO has yet to make any progress since then. On Wednesday, the stock confirmed its breakdown … Read more

A Hedged Approach to Trading Apple Earnings This Time Around

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 25, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) While expectations generally remain extremely bullish for Apple (AAPL) – {snip} – the short-term price action going into earnings does not reflect that bullishness. Since last printing all-time closing highs just … Read more