T2108 Update (June 4, 2014) – Bearish Divergence Ahead of Highly Anticipated Eurozone Monetary Decision

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Apple Earnings Technical Review – October, 2013 Edition

It is that time again – Apple (AAPL) announces its latest earnings on October 28th. This post is another edition of my pre-earnings technical analyses that examines historical data to project the outcome for trading the day following earnings. The short story is that while I remain convinced that AAPL has turned bullish again, the … Read more

Icahn Secures Apple’s Bottom

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 14, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) For a little over three months I have made the case for an Apple (AAPL) bottom (see for example “An Apple Bottom As Sentiment Finally Turns Southward (Put Buying Soars)” and/or … Read more

Chart Review: IBM Roundtrip Prints Potential Bottom; SolarCity Ready to Explode Again

International Business Machines (IBM) International Business Machines (IBM) experienced an unusually large post-earnings drop of 8.3% on April 19th. This was despite reaffirming its FY13 earnings guidance. After one more day of selling, it was off to the races. In less than a month, IBM had recovered all its post-earnings losses. The stock churned and … Read more

T2108 Update (December 4, 2012) – Resistance Holds As Volatility Manages A Rare 3-Day Rise

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review Update: Netflix Surge Closes Post-Earnings Gap Down

Just last week, I noted how Netflix (NFLX) neatly confirmed a bearish abandoned baby top with another earnings implosion. However, I did not discuss in more detail the implications of the stock’s strong bounce from its lows on the day although I tweeted about it. The following day, NFLX had a strong day marginally closing … Read more

Chart Review: Everyone Has A Whole Apple Again – Bearish Reversal Invalidated

February 15 was a day noted around the world: Apple (AAPL) made a major bearish reversal that even non-technicians could appreciate for its fury. Here is the chart I produced on that fateful day: The tremendous surge in trading volume was a 13-month high and followed the S&P 500 down for the day – adding … Read more

The Healthcare Stock Index (XLV) Has Topped Out

At this point, everyone should be used to looking at charts of stocks and indices that look like they are topping out, many in climactic fashion (click here for a review of Caterpillar; click here for a review of Intel). Add healthcare stocks to the growing list. Specifically, the Health Care Select Sector SPDR ETF, … Read more

As WYNN tumbles from consolidation pattern, strangle trade remains flatlined

Schaeffer’s Investment Research is reporting today that the Macau IPO for Wynn Resorts, Limited (WYNN) has been meet with heavy put buying the past two days. October 65 puts were popular yesterday and the bearish trading has extended to the 60 strike today. The option strangle trade I outlined last week on WYNN uses the … Read more

Strangle Options Play in WYNN

Casino stocks have soared since the July market lows. September in particular has featured some near parabolic moves as shorts get squeezed and risk-seeking behavior has accelerated. Wynn Resorts Ltd. (WYNN) has caught my attention the past two months because its large swings in stock price have made option strangles quite profitable. In a strangle, … Read more