Housing Market Evades the Pandemic Recession – Housing Market Review (August, 2020)

Housing Market Intro and Summary The pandemic recession is over as far as the housing market is concerned. The case for V-shaped recoveries was evident in the last Housing Market Review. The recovery completed in August with important new highs in existing and new home sales and in home builder sentiment. Ultra-low interest rates support … Read more

Clorox: Stock’s Breakdown Makes Tepid Guidance Even Less Attractive

Clorox (CLX) is a stalwart of the pandemic economy. The company’s line-up of cleaning and disinfectant products are favorites for COVID-19 safety routines. While the company sells products like vitamins, bags and wraps, cat litter, food, water filtration, and natural personal care, Clorox is the cleaning company. As the cleaning company, the stock has enjoyed … Read more

Why Nigeria Tops Google Searches for Bitcoin

I often use Google searches to understand the context for trading in Bitcoin (BTC/USD). I formalized this strategy into the Google Trends Momentum Check (GTMC). Consistently, Nigeria tops the list of countries with Bitcoin searches. A recent article in Bitcoin.com titled “Nigeria’s Foreign Currency Crisis Boon for Bitcoin: Country Tops Wallet Downloads Ahead of the … Read more

How to Warn Investors and Guarantee A Correct Prediction

The Warning The CNBC headline warned investors: “Widespread overconfidence is putting investors in a dangerous situation, Invesco’s Kristina Hooper warns.” I typically skip right past such headlines. Yet my recent switch to a cautiously bearish short-term trading call made me more receptive to the big tease. I expected to read stock market predictions about the … Read more

New Bearish Divergence Shreds the Stock Trading Script – Above the 40 (August 21, 2020)

AT40 (T2108) is dropping at a rapid clip despite the stock market's melt-up.

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 60.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ended 7 overbought trading days)AT200 = 42.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 22.5Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bearish Stock Market Commentary AT40 (T2108), the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages … Read more