ONE-TWENTY TWO - A collection of personal articles on financial markets including analysis you can use
Apr
1

T2108 Update (April 1, 2014) – A Stubbornly Overbought Market

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

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Mar
3

Increasing Unemployment, Decreasing Commodity Prices Portend Jawboning By the Reserve Bank of Australia

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 13, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) So much for a trough in unemployment in Australia. The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) produced another poor employment report. In January, Australia lost another 3,700 jobs, and the number of […]

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Mar
3

All the Reserve Bank of Australia Has Left Is Jawboning

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 4, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) made it official: the low interest rate cycle has reached a trough. In its latest Monetary Policy Decision on February 4th, the RBA concluded (emphasis […]

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Mar
3

China PMI Fallout Takes Down Australian Dollar Even As Rate Expectations Stay Steady

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 27, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It looks like the rate implications of creeping inflation in Australia still outweigh disappointing job news and the latest China PMI reading. The market’s odds for a rate reduction dropped from […]

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Mar
3

Q4 2013 Inflation Reading Removes Australia’s Scope For Lower Rates

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 22, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Remember last September when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) somewhat mysteriously removed the following language from its statement on monetary policy?… “The Board also judged that the inflation outlook, as […]

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Jan
17

Poor Jobs Report Breaks Down Australian Dollar But Is THIS the Trough?

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 13, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a loss of 22,600 jobs for December, 2013 while consensus expectations were for a GAIN of 10,000 jobs. The economy lost 31,600 full-time jobs […]

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Jan
17

U.S. Jobs Report Pushes Australian Dollar Into Target, Australian Jobs Up Next

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 13, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) I started this year with a bullish bias on the Australian dollar (FXA) with a short-term target set at the 50-day moving average (DMA) (see Australian Dollar Starts The Year With […]

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Jan
14

Forex Chart Review: The Power of 50 – Carving Out A Large Swath Of Key Pivots?

written by Dr. Duru

Tonight, January 14, 2014, I was casually doing my periodic check of forex charts and was absolutely startled to see so many currency pairs pivoting around the 50-day moving average (DMA). I was so captured by this pattern, I decided to post every single chart for the record. I realize that the tests and touches […]

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Jan
2

Australian Dollar Starts the Year with A Bias for Bottoming

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The ASX (Australian Stock Exchange) tracker for rate expectations dropped further to start the new year. The RBA (Reserve Bank of Australia) Rate Tracker dropped the odds of a rate decrease […]

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Dec
29

A Major Test Awaits the Australian Dollar In 2014 As 2013 Delivered New Correlations

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 23, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian dollar (FXA) has finally retested the “W-bottom” from August of this year. So far the test seems successful as the Australian dollar has sharply bounced off the lows over […]

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