ONE-TWENTY TWO - A collection of personal articles on financial markets including analysis you can use
Aug
21

An Over-Extended U.S. Dollar and A Complete Reversal for Gold

written by Dr. Duru

The U.S. dollar (UUP) is at 11-month highs. The dollar index is finally showing the strength many expected from the beginning of 2014 in anticipation of strong economic numbers and subsequent rate hikes. The chart above shows that the U.S. dollar index has been on a relative tear since bouncing off its QE3 reference price […]

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Aug
15

T2108 Update (August 14, 2014) – S&P 500 Faces Its First Big Test After Lifting From Oversold Conditions

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (August 14, 2014) – S&P 500 Faces Its First Big Test After Lifting From Oversold Conditions »

Aug
10

Forex Positioning Update: Short Euro, Canadian Dollar, Australian Dollar, Long Pound

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 7, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) There was a lot of action last week in the foreign exchange market. This piece is a quick update on how I have adjusted and/or maintained positioning in select currencies: the […]

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Aug
8

Forex Setup Week (August 10, 2014): Major Trends In Play

written by Dr. Duru

Currency markets have been providing some excitement during the past several weeks. Some will ascribe it to lower liquidity, but I think that explanation is too easy. Major adjustments are likely underway in sentiment and positioning, so traders will do well to review charts on at least a weekly basis to assess the bigger picture […]

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Aug
8

Unemployment and Commodity Prices Working Against the Australian Dollar

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 7, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) It is probably only a matter of time before the next deep swoon in the Australian dollar (FXA). On August 7th…the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) reported a spike higher in […]

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Jul
13

A Stubbornly Strong Australian Dollar Introduces A Risk Factor into Economic Forecasts

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on June 26, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Australia’s Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE) recently released its Resources and Energy quarterly for the June, 2014 quarter containing a notably more cautious tone toward the Australian dollar (FXA) […]

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Jul
13

Plunge In Australia’s Trade Balance Could Mean Weaker Dollar Ahead

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) I was just getting accustomed to the idea that iron ore prices could plunge without impacting the Australian dollar (FXA). Now comes a surprisingly large plunge in Australia’s trade balance. On […]

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Jul
13

Glenn Stevens Takes Direct Aim At Market Complacency On the Australian Dollar

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 6, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Governor Glenn Stevens of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has finally returned to jawboning as a method for cajoling currency traders to sell the Australian dollar (FXA). On July 3rd, […]

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May
6

Monetary Policy On Cruise Control in Australia

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 6, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Reserve Bank of Australia seems to have abandoned efforts to push the Australian dollar (FXA) around. The latest monetary decision contained no surprises and looked like a near carbon copy […]

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Apr
1

T2108 Update (April 1, 2014) – A Stubbornly Overbought Market

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (April 1, 2014) – A Stubbornly Overbought Market »

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