ONE-TWENTY TWO - A collection of personal articles on financial markets including analysis you can use
Mar
24

T2108 Update (March 23, 2015) – Countdown (Again) to Overbought Market Conditions

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

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Mar
2

The Reserve Bank of Australia Slows the Momentum for Rate Cuts

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) This time around, the currency market seemed well-prepared for a rate cut from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). As luck would have it, the RBA did not cooperate. {snip} This […]

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Mar
2

A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Saturday, the People’s Bank of China cut its benchmark interest rates by 0.25 percentage points (25 basis points). Yet, as of the open of Asian trading, the Australian dollar (FXA) […]

Read More About - A Weekend Rate Cut In China Fails to Stir the Australian Dollar; RBA Now On Tap »

Feb
22

T2108 Update (February 20, 2015) – All-Time Highs Increase Technical Tensions

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (February 20, 2015) – All-Time Highs Increase Technical Tensions »

Feb
17

Australia’s Heating Housing Market Pressures Monetary Policy

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 11, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Australian Bureau of Statistics released its December, 2014 data on housing finance in Australia. The data show that first-time home buyers continue to decline as a percentage of all dwellings […]

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Jan
15

T2108 Update (January 15, 2015) – Like So Much Paper Flailing in the Ill Winds

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (January 15, 2015) – Like So Much Paper Flailing in the Ill Winds »

Jan
10

The Commodity Crash Playbook: A Long Overdue Rewrite and Revision

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 5, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Three and a half years ago, I started a series that I called “the Commodities Crash Playbook” in an effort to take advantage of an investing and economic theory promoted by […]

Read More About - The Commodity Crash Playbook: A Long Overdue Rewrite and Revision »

Dec
17

Parabolic Moves in the Ruble, Turkish Lira May Foreshadow the Same for the Australian Dollar

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Currency markets have been rocked with increasingly extreme moves in risk-bearing currencies like the Russian ruble (USD/RUB). Last week, the Russian central bank hiked interest rates from 9.5% to 10.5%. This […]

Read More About - Parabolic Moves in the Ruble, Turkish Lira May Foreshadow the Same for the Australian Dollar »

Dec
3

T2108 Update (December 3, 2014) – Sellers Fail to Seal the Deal On Topping Pattern

written by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are […]

Read More About - T2108 Update (December 3, 2014) – Sellers Fail to Seal the Deal On Topping Pattern »

Nov
28

A Minor Intervention Scare for the Australian Dollar

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 13, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On November 13th (in the morning in Australia), Christopher Kent, an Assistant Governor at the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), delivered a speech discussing business cycles in Australia. The big news […]

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