ONE-TWENTY TWO - A collection of personal articles on financial markets including analysis you can use
May
1

A Confident Story Cuts Through the RBA’s Monetary Conundrum And Drives the Australian Dollar Lower

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 1, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) While the U.S. dollar (UUP) was experiencing fresh bout of weakness, the Australian dollar (FXA) was surprisingly even weaker. Although I explained in an earlier piece that the Australian dollar was […]

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May
1

Australia’s Q4 2014 Inflation Enough to Erase Momentum for February Rate Cut

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 25, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) Perhaps the market was really expecting a much lower inflation reading in Australia. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reported the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in Australia for the fourth quarter of […]

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May
1

A Plunge In Business Confidence and Conditions Help Drive the Australian Dollar Ever Lower

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The DailyFx lists the the National Australia Bank’s (NAB) monthly indices for Business Confidence and Business Conditions as having a low impact on currency markets. As a result, I do not […]

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May
1

Stern Warnings to Financial Markets

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Guy Debelle, an Assistant Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), delivered a must read speech on pricing and volatility in financial markets. He was about as subtle as […]

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May
1

The Australian Dollar Stands Between Here And A Larger Correction

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 13, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) In “

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May
1

The Australian Dollar Firms As Another Fed Over-Reaction Helps to Pause Currency Trends

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 9, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Not even another poor jobs report – unemployment rate up from 6.0% to 6.1% and a loss of 29,700 employed persons – could keep the Australian dollar (FXA) down. During the […]

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May
1

An Extended Forecast for A Stronger Australian Dollar

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 28, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) Australia’s Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics (BREE) recently released its September, 2014 quarterly report on Australia’s resources and energy sectors and analysis of key commodity markets. Each report includes forecasts […]

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May
1

A Deceptively Strong August Jobs Report for Australia

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 11, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The August employment report from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) delivered a tremendous surge in jobs. The additional 121,000 people employed in August far exceeded the “consensus forecast” of 15,000. […]

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Apr
3

It Had to Happen – An Outright Call for Iron Ore Collusion

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 26, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} The response was swift. The The Australian Competition and Consumer Commission (ACCC) released a statement indicating it will investigate the context and nature of comments made by Andrew Forrest, founder […]

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Apr
3

More Rate Cut Pressure As Australian Dollar’s Multi-Year Weakness Fails to Curb Trade Deficit

written by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 2, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) A drop in the Australian dollar (FXA) toward a fresh six-year low has not stopped Australia’s trade balance from worsening. {snip} Source: The Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) Source for currency […]

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