All-Time Highs Defy October’s Warnings – The Market Breadth

All-Time Highs Defy October’s Warnings – The Market Breadth (Credit: zoe kahana, https://www.flickr.com/photos/25093808@N00/225536122)

Stock Market Commentary October is the third of the stock market’s three most dangerous months. October, 2024 started with a convergence of bad news tailor-made to fulfill October’s seasonal destiny: intensifying war and geo-political tensions, two intense hurricanes, the looming contentiousness of the U.S. presidential election, another failure from the overbought threshold (bearish according to … Read more

Market Rotations Are Wearing Down Overbought Resistance – The Market Breadth

Market Rotations Are Wearing Down Overbought Resistance – The Market Breadth (Credit: Eduardo Tavares, https://www.flickr.com/photos/28761527@N06/3499009813)

Stock Market Commentary Bears still look ready to bow out, but they still have their paws firmly planted on high-tech stocks, especially semiconductors. The market rotations out of tech are nudging enough stocks higher, especially small caps, to rechallenge the threshold defining overbought conditions for market breadth. The stark divergence in stocks greatly reduces the … Read more

Suddenly, the VIX Looks Like It Matters Again – The Market Breadth

surprise (Credit: Surprise!!! 4/365 by Benson Kua from Flickr)

Stock Market Commentary While I watch the tense trading unfold in NVDA, the VIX, the volatility index, has suddenly returned to my radar as an indicator of interest. Thursday’s stock market setback came with a surging VIX that closed at a new high of the year. The regular programming of the volatility faders actually failed … Read more

Retail Turns A Corner for Black Friday – The Market Breadth

Retail Turns A Corner for Black Friday

Stock Market Commentary The stock market continued its inflation celebration last week with a surge on Monday. The buying momentum abated from there as the holiday-shortened week rolled into Thanksgiving and then Black Friday. Even though NVIDIA (NVDA) stole the earnings spotlight for the week, the U.S.’s most storied day of shopping set the stage … Read more

A Bear Market Swan Song for the NASDAQ? – The Market Breadth

swan song (Credit: The Song of the Swan 2 by David Hoffman '41)

Stock Market Commentary: Flying on the wings of an AI (artificial intelligence) gold rush, the NASDAQ may have delivered the swan song for its bear market. The latest rush of buying, sent the NASDAQ above its bear market line for the first time since last August. The path to this breakthrough was fraught with yet … Read more