A Hiccup in the Oversold Bounce from Weak GDP – The Market Breadth

A Hiccup In the Oversold Bounce from Weak GDP - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The stock market experienced a hiccup in an otherwise strong post-oversold bounce. The Q1 GDP report revealed a small contraction that surprisingly caught the market off guard. However, this contraction was driven primarily by a surge in imports as businesses rushed to get ahead of anticipated tariffs. I assume a lot of … Read more

Finally Oversold! … But So What? – The Market Breadth

oversold - but so what

Stock Market Commentary Today was a brutal day in the stock market. The only good news I can report is that market breadth finally dropped into my official oversold territory. However, “so what?” sounds like an appropriate question to ask in the face of deepening market angst over tariffs. For example, a headline from Yahoo … Read more

Growth Scare or Overreaction – An Oversold Market or Something Worse?

Will deregulation and tax cuts far outweigh the economic damage of broad-based and global tariffs, chaos in the Federal government, and an assortment of other economic and policy uncertainties? This question rides high on the minds of traders and investors. Where you fall on this question might determine how worried you are about the current … Read more

A DeepSeek Dive and A Tariff Toll – The Market Breadth

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) failed to recover from its DeepSeek dive, barely clinging to 200DMA support.

Stock Market Commentary A DeepSeek dive stole the headlines from the Federal Reserve. At the same time, tariff headlines refused to go away. Assuming you have already gotten your fill of DeepSeek headlines, I will just summarize the drama by saying a Chinese start-up has apparently completely up-ended the economics of the AI universe. DeepSeek’s … Read more

Oversold Enough Confirmed With All-Time High Redux – The Market Breadth

The S&P 500 (SPY) continued to rise after its recent 50DMA breakout, managing to set a new all-time high.

Stock Market Commentary A week ago, I concluded that the stock market had reached “oversold enough” trading conditions. Last week confirmed an oversold low as market breadth rapidly broadened and supported an all-time high redux for the S&P 500. Yet, this revival comes with important caveats. Uncertainty looms over the Federal Reserve’s next moves even … Read more