T2108 Update – July 19, 2011 (Bears Losing Their Advantage)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 56%. VIX Status: 19.2. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 soared today from 42% to 54% and completely erased yesterday’s losses. The S&P 500 jumped 1.6%. The previous … Read more

T2108 Update – July 18, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 42%. VIX Status: 21.0. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped from 54% to 42% as the regularly scheduled selling resumed in the stock market. T2108 remains on … Read more

T2108 Update – July 15, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 55%. VIX Status: 19.5. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 nudged upward to 54% from 51%. As I guessed yesterday, the oversold stochastics on the S&P 500 were … Read more

T2108 Update – July 14, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 51%. VIX Status: 21. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold. Commentary T2108 dropped to 51% from 61%. My favorite technical indicator spent the previous three days bouncing in a tight … Read more

T2108 Update – July 11, 2011 (Bearish Follow-Through)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 58%, overbought period ended at 5 days. VIX Status: 18. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Hold – if no shorts were opened during the overbought period, fade any rally tomorrow … Read more

T2108 Update – July 8, 2011 (Attack of the Topping Patterns!)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 74%, 5th overbought day. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Continue closing bullish trades (longs), add to bearish trades on a close below 1333 on the S&P 500 … Read more

T2108 Update – July 7, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 78% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close “almost all” bullish trades (longs), accelerate bearish trades (shorts). Caveats noted below… Commentary T2108 hit 78% today for … Read more

T2108 Update – July 5, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary Today was a strange day. The S&P 500 … Read more

Preparing for Profits in a Resource-Constrained World: Part 1 of 2

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} Two months ago or so, a friend directed my attention to Jeremy Grantham’s GMO Quarterly Newsletter for April, 2011 titled “Time to Wake Up: Days of Abundant Resources and Falling Prices Are Over Forever.” … Read more

T2108 Update – July 1, 2011

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 70% and overbought. VIX Status: 16. General (Short-term) Trading Call: Close more bullish trades (longs), initiate new bearish trades (shorts). Commentary The S&P 500 closed the week with a … Read more