ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
At the time of writing, currency markets opened trading this week with Brexit fear continuing to recede in the form of a big gap in favor of the British pound (FXB). Google Trends shows that on Friday, search interest in Brexit took a big step back (down 17%). This move confirms the apparent change in … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 30, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) In early May, soon after April earnings, I presented a case predicting Apple’s stock would hit fresh all-time highs. This was essentially a follow-up to a piece a year prior predicting … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 14, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This quote is the entirety of a terse and pointed press release that commodity giant Glencore (GLCNF) (GLNCY) delivered to calm market fears about the company’s business. This release came … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
The big correction of August 24, 2015 (flash crash?) indiscriminately plunged stocks across the board. Twitter (TWTR) went as low as $21.01 before bouncing back and closing at $26.23. TWTR has steadily climbed along with the rest of the wobbly, recovering stock market. The lowest CLOSE for TWTR during this period, and its all-time low, … Read more
On July 29, 2015, Nightly Business Report included a poignant segment featuring the painful story of a busted stock trader in China. The path from hope (greed?) to despair sounds like a classic with a twist. At least this particular trader took too many cues from the Chinese government, a government whose policies have clearly … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on July 27, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) This month’s acceleration in the now 4-year sell-off in commodities seems to indicate that markets are getting serious about bracing for a tightening cycle from the Federal Reserve. I have mainly … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 31, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) The concern for some solar investors going into December was that solar stocks were being unfairly sold off in sympathy with plunging oil prices. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com In early December, I … Read more
(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more
This is a “quick hit” post – too long for a tweet, but not a complete blog post either. Maybe I will call these quickits. Anyway, I caught a snippet on CNBC this morning discussing the plunge in oil prices. The on-air personality recounted a conversation she had with an oil analyst. The oil analyst … Read more