Hints of Bottoming for Twitter

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 14, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) I last wrote about Twitter (TWTR) three months ago to conclude that the “crescendo top” in the stock was confirmed and to review the importance of sentiment in determining the fate … Read more

Twitter At A Critical Juncture As Prospects For Churn Increase

When Nomura upgraded Twitter (TWTR) on May 28th to a “buy” with a $43 price target, the subsequent bounce that sent the stock up 10.7% on the day had all the appearances of a convincing bottom. The stock had previously drifted lower for two weeks to create a “soft” retest of all-time lows. Earlier analyst … Read more

A Turn-Around In Apple Sentiment Should Push the Stock Back to All-Time Highs

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on May 5, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} This quote is from a piece I wrote in early March titled “Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails To Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In The Stock.” At that time, I was wringing … Read more

Apple’s Post-Earnings Buyback Fails to Sway Growing Negative Sentiment In Stock

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on March 2, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) On February 6, 2014, the Wall Street Journal reported that Apple (AAPL) had snatched up $14B worth of its own stock following January’s post-earnings sell-off: $12B in an accelerated buyback and … Read more

T2108 Update (June 14, 2013) – Churn and Burn

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Sentiment Clinic: Facebook STILL Bullish

Today (June 6th), I FINALLY closed out my long-standing short position in Facebook (FB), leaving one solitary put to capture what might remain of the current distribution process of the stock by eager sellers (I announced the trade on twitter using the #120trade hashtag). This time delivered a fascinating ride and required an exercise in … Read more

Gold AND Silver Enthusiasm Soar to Historic Levels In the Wake of Collapsing Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 21, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On April 14th, I wrote my reasons for believing that a bottom for gold would prove elusive. At the time, I was thinking gold (GLD) could experience a new extended phase … Read more

Three Reasons Why A New Bottom For Gold Will Likely Prove Elusive For Now

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 14, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) During the height of the banking crisis in Cyprus, I figured gold (GLD) would be a good trade. That lasted for all of a few days. {snip} I have seen some … Read more

Facebook Sentiment Remains Relatively Firm (For Now) Despite Post-Earnings Selling And Downgrades

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on February 13, 2013. Click here to read the entire piece.) On Monday evening, February 11, 2013, Bernstein downgraded Facebook (FB) from Outperform to Market Perform. {snip} Source: FreeStockCharts.com In the downgrade, Bernstein cited concerns over ad pricing, revenue growth and valuation. … Read more

T2108 Update (January 25, 2013) – No Pause for 1500 Even As Red Flags Grow Brighter

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more