ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Management for LGI Homes (LGIH) set aside an hour for its Q1 2018 earnings conference call. They only needed 37 minutes, including 23 minutes spent on Q&A. Perhaps they should have used the entire hour. Source: FreeStockCharts.com As the chart above shows, LGIH has had a wild two days following its earnings report. The first … Read more
The ink just dried on my last Housing Market Review. In that piece I lamented the on-going lagging performance of home builders and stagnating housing housing data, and thus concluded that it was time to call an end to the seasonal trade on home builders. Just two days later, home builders surged upward in sympathy … Read more
LGI Homes (LGIH) has been trapped underneath its 200-day moving average (DMA) for the entire year of 2016. Earnings reports and closing reports could not re-ignite last year’s enthusiasm in the stock. Finally, the report on March closings did the trick. In response to the March closing report, LGIH soared 12.7% on almost three times … Read more
At the end of 2015, I wrote about the critical tests facing LGI Homes (LGIH). After another strong monthly closing report, LGIH seems more likely to pass the test of financial performance in coming earnings reports, but the technical test remains in place. LGIH reported record results for a single month in December, 2015: 433 … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 29, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) In mid-September, I wrote “LGI Homes Is Now A Bit Hot To The Touch.” LGI Homes (LGIH) is down 18% since then. LGIH also hit an all-time high on December 1st … Read more
Century Communities, Inc. (CCS) reported third quarter earnings on the evening of November 5th at the tail-end of a particularly challenging time for the stock. Going into earnings, CCS was down 35% from its 52-week and all-time closing high set in early September. CCS is still up 7.5% for the year, but the recent earnings … Read more
Almost a month ago, I performed some risk management and trimmed my bulging portfolio of homebuilders by selling LGI Homes, Inc. (LGIH) (see “LGI Homes Is Now A Bit Hot To The Touch“). Since then, LGIH has chopped around and even came close to testing support at its 50-day moving average (DMA) on its way … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 10, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) I always get nervous when a rush occurs on a stock with a swell of late entrants to a good story. LGI Homes (LGIH), a homebuilder with a heavy concentration of … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November 19, 2014. Click here to read the entire piece.) {snip} An analyst asked this timely question during the November 11, 2014 earnings call for LGI Homes (LGIH). The quote comes from the Seeking Alpha transcript of that earnings call. Charles … Read more
(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on August 6, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) In previous pieces covering homebuilders and housing, I have noted that my favorite plays in the space remain the regional builders. Regionals tend to have lower valuations with execution and growth … Read more