Above the 40 (February 23, 2018) – Bulls Warm the Steamroller Right Back Up

AT40 = 36.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 16.5 Short-term Trading Call: neutral (awaiting confirmation of bullish breakout) Commentary Something woke the bulls and buyers back up enough to get the steamroller warmed up again. The … Read more

Above the 40 (February 20, 2018) – A Stubborn Cloud Over the Stock Market’s Recovery

AT40 = 28.9% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 48.1% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 20.6 Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Commentary In the last Above the 40, I noted some warning signs developing on the S&P 500 (SPY). The trading week started … Read more

Above the 40 (February 9, 2018) – A Stock Market Reset

AT40 = 14.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (day 2 oversold) AT200 = 31.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 2-year low) VIX = 29.1 (range from 27.7 to 41.1) Short-term Trading Call: bullish Commentary Friday’s classic battle between buyers and sellers delivered a (short-term?) market … Read more

Above the 40 (February 8, 2018) – The Simple Stock Trades for the Latest Oversold Period

AT40 = 12.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (day 1 of the second oversold period in 4 days) AT200 = 39.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (near 2-year low) VIX = 33.5 (range from 24.4 to 36.2) Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish (with oh so many … Read more

Above the 40 (February 6, 2018) – Market’s Oversold Conditions Quickly End – More to Come?

AT40 = 23.4% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 47.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs VIX = 30.0 (19.7% decrease, intraday high of 50.3) Short-term Trading Call: neutral Commentary The first oversold period in about two years ended after just one day. As a reminder, … Read more