Breakdowns + Pullbacks = Risk Off Again – The Market Breadth

Breakdowns + Pullbacks = Risk Off Again

The Market Breadth Summary Stock Market Commentary The first month of the new year ended in an eventful fashion with significant news both good and bad, sometimes abrupt. The bad news convinced me to go risk off again as breakdowns and pullbacks weighed heavily on individual stocks. The major indices hid the extent of the … Read more

A Market Melt-Up Alongside A Government Melt-Down – The Market Breadth

a market melt-up alongside a government melt-down

Stock Market Commentary We now have a stock market melt-up alongside a government melt-down…and financial markets could not care less. In fact, the stock market can hardly get more bullish with the long-term, mid-term, and short-term uptrends each flashing green and pointing upward. Still, I cannot help checking my peripheral vision for signs of caution. … Read more

Market Breadth Wavering Under the Threat of Government Shutdown – The Market Breadth

market breadth wavering under the threat of a government shutdown

Stock Market Commentary After a month of churning, market breadth is wavering again. This slip is just about the only sign that the market cares at all about looming risks from a potential government shutdown. Even the volatility index (VIX) dropped 8.6% on Friday and remains just below where it closed right before the tariff … Read more

The Melt-Up Continues As Rate Cuts Beckon – The Market Breadth

the melt-up continues as rate cuts beckon - the market breadth

Stock Market Commentary The stock market leaned into a melt-up as a constant stream of IPOs signaled risk-on appetite even as a massive downward revisions in jobs in the 12 months through March, 2025 implied more than expected economic weakness ahead. Rate cuts beckon as a result of this broadening weakness, and Wall Street has … Read more

Stocks Hold Highs Below A Cloud of Tariff News – The Market Breadth

Stocks Hold Highs Below A Cloud of Tariff News - The Market Breadth

Stock Market Commentary The stock market endured what Yahoo Finance dubbed a whirlwind week, and remarkably, the market came through largely unscathed and continued to hold highs. The July 9th expiration of the pause on reciprocal tariffs generated a wide range of outcomes – letters, temporary deals, and even punitive measures. Yet, the stock market … Read more