Green Shoots Push Into the Next Downtrend Threatening to Trample Stocks – Above the 40 (March 27, 2020)

AT40 = 3.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (23rd oversold day)AT200 = 5.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 65.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary First a dose of hope: “Coronavirus treatment: Palo Alto woman recovers from coronavirus after … Read more

Green Shoots for A Grinding and Historic Oversold Period – Above the 40 (March 20, 2020)

AT40 = 2.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (18th oversold day)AT200 = 2.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAs (new low for the oversold period)VIX = 66.0Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The bear market grinds on. At the time of writing, U.S. stock market futures … Read more

A Grinding Bear Market Hits More Oversold History – Above the 40 (March 18, 2020)

AT40 = 2.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (16th oversold day)AT200 = 4.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 76.5Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The week started with another stomach churning loss with the S&P 500 (SPY) losing 12.0%. It was a day where … Read more

The Day the Stock Market Lost Apple

Apple (AAPL) lost 12.9% and broke its 200DMA for the first time during the market collapse.

“Looking for one of the 4% of stocks still trading above their respective 200DMAs? Apple (AAPL) is one of those lucky few. If sellers break AAPL, I foresee two binary possibilities: 1) buyers will finally see enough bargains to go on a buying spree, or 2) buyers give up all hope and the resulting rush … Read more

An Oversold Stock Market Full of Extremes Makes Fresh Bid On A Bottom – Above the 40 (March 13, 2019)

AT40 = 3.0% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (13th oversold day)AT200 = 6.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 57.8 (down 23.4%)Short-term Trading Call: bullish Stock Market Commentary The stock market experienced another historic day as the bear market takes on more twists and turns. The … Read more