U.S. Dollar Archives - Page 15 of 39 - ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets

Bullard Helps Push Out the Next Rate Hike Further Into the Year

January 30, 2016January 31, 2016 by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 15, 2016. Click here to read the entire piece.) The recent movements in crude oil prices are very substantial in historical context. Headline inflation will return to target once oil prices stabilize, but recent further declines in global oil prices … Read more

Rate Hike Relief Paves the Way for A Stronger Dollar And A December Bottom for Stocks

January 30, 2016 by Dr. Duru

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 17, 2015. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Federal Reserve could not have asked for a better response to its first rate hike in 9 years and first move off zero interest rates in 7 years. The Fed … Read more

T2108 Update (January 26, 2016) – Rally or Regress: A Fed-Inspired Binary Trade

January 27, 2016January 27, 2016 by Dr. Duru

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (January 22, 2016) – A Break in the Fever of A Sick Stock Market

January 24, 2016January 28, 2016 by Dr. Duru

Cocoa, A King Among Commodities, Finally Gives Way to A Ripe Buying Opportunity

January 21, 2016 by Dr. Duru

I last wrote about cocoa in July, 2015 in a piece called “Even Cocoa Starts to Waver In the Face of the Collapse In Commodities.” I wrote that iPath Bloomberg Cocoa SubTR ETN (NIB) had met my price target for selling, and I awaited my next entry point. I passed up two subsequent dips, but … Read more

T2108 Update (January 8, 2016) – Looking for Trading Opportunities Even As Oversold Conditions Deepen

January 10, 2016 by Dr. Duru

A Nervous Market Pushes Out the Next Fed Rate Hike

January 8, 2016January 8, 2016 by Dr. Duru

For what I think is the first time since the Fed rate hike in December, the market pushed out the timing of the next rate hike. Source: CME Group FedWatch The presumed change in heart has come from the trading chaos in China. Back in September, the Fed used out-sized volatility coming from China’s devaluation … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Should Remain On Center Stage Despite Market Tentativeness

December 31, 2015December 31, 2015 by Dr. Duru

The U.S. dollar index ended 2015 on a strong note, but it has yet to develop any post-Fed momentum. Of the ten trading days following the rate hike from the U.S. Federal Reserve, the index has closed below that day’s intraday high five days. Notably, the intraday LOW of that day is still holding strong … Read more

T2108 Update (December 29, 2015) – A Convergence of Indicators May Signal A Firming Market

December 30, 2015December 30, 2015 by Dr. Duru

T2108 Update (December 17, 2015) – The S&P 500 Makes A Reverse Power Move

December 17, 2015December 17, 2015 by Dr. Duru