ONE-TWENTY TWO: Trading Financial Markets
Exploring the poetry in financial markets for students of money and economy since the year 2000.
Market breadth is my preferred technical indicator for understanding short-term price action in the stock market. I track breadth using AT50, shorthand for “Above the 50,” which measures the percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages (DMAs). AT50 becomes most meaningful at its extremes. Readings below 20% define oversold conditions that historically create … Read more
Stock Market Analysis Summary Market liquidity fears intensified across equities and crypto as market breadth continued to deteriorate. The major stock market indices confirmed bearish technical breakdowns. Major AI and tech stocks confirmed weakening momentum. The week ended with a relief rally after rate-cut expectations surged with Fed Governor Williams teasing a possible December easing. … Read more
The Extremes I look for opportunities when markets overreact to sentiment extremes. The recent drama over the logo change for Cracker Barrel Old Country Store, Inc (CBRL) provided a textbook case. A redesign consistent with modern branding aesthetics set off a social media backlash, fueled by cultural politics and amplified by high-profile voices. In the … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Inflation grabbed the headlines last week, but market breadth was just as important for the stock market. With financial markets initially feeling good about the CPI report, buyers rushed for laggard stocks and created a market breadth revival for two days. The abrupt sentiment shift nearly eliminated all my concerns about a … Read more
Stock Market Commentary Finally the bears break in on all the fun the bulls have had for months. The stock market got overwhelmed with a flood of bad news that was just too difficult to ignore or look through (for now). The July jobs report was not just weak but also it included a massive … Read more