ATM: The Apple Trading Model Refined

For over two months, I have gained some valuable experience and lessons putting the formalized Apple Trading Model (ATM) into practice. I have experienced two main challenges: 1) balancing the sometimes conflicting messages of the ATM when using different amounts of historical data, and 2) plain old execution. For challenge #1, I have concluded that … Read more

Valuation Update: Internet High-Fliers Experience Large Mark-Ups

Many internet-related stocks have been on fire lately. In many ways, the run-up has been about mobile, so it may not even be technically accurate to call this feature a valuation update on internet-related stocks. Regardless, the most notable change since the last update in mid-June is that the internet high-fliers have experienced significant run-ups … Read more

T2108 Update (August 30, 2013) – Bearish Divergence On the Edge of Oversold

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

T2108 Update (August 26, 2013) – Ugly Fade

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly gap down to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other … Read more

Chart Review: Amazon.com Triggers Post-Earnings Short, Freeport Hits QE2 Price, Cliffs Hits 200DMA

Amazon.com (AMZN) The day after Amazon.com (AMZN) reported earnings, it soared in typical fashion after faking out traders with a lower print. I was able to once again execute the post-earnings AMZN trade successfully. It has been all downhill for AMZN since then. On Tuesday (August 13) the stock finally closed below the intraday low … Read more

Chart Review: IBM, SolarCity, Apple, and Google

This chart review includes a follow-up from last week’s chart review of International Business Machines (IBM) and SolarCity (SCTY). International Business Machines (IBM) The potential hammer bottom I identified last week got follow-through, but it was too messy to trade. It took two days for IBM to close at a higher price than the high … Read more

T2108 Update (July 1, 2013) – Oversold Bounce Hits the Wall Again

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

T2108 Update (June 4, 2013) – Missed Opportunity

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Apple Is Between A Bottom And A Hard $500

About six weeks have passed since Apple printed an apparent bottom in the wake of the tumultuous trading surrounding its April earnings report. With the benefit of hindsight, I think it is worthwhile to look back at some important highlights to consider whether this bottom is a sustainable one and what the prospects might be … Read more

T2108 Update (June 3, 2013) – Well-Timed Bounce

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more