Stock Market Buyers Counter Sellers With Their Own Line in the Sand – Above the 40 (May 15, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 56.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 14.5% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 31.9Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The week began with sellers finally drawing a line in the sand. The week ended with a counter from … Read more

Overbought Trading Conditions Come to A Swift and Ominous End – Above the 40 (May 1, 2020)

Stock Market Statistics AT40 = 68.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) (ending 2 days overbought)AT200 = 12.2% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 37.2Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The Federal Reserve’s last statement on monetary policy may go down as the short-term peak in … Read more

Fresh Hopes for the Canadian Dollar As Central Bank Talks Recovery

The Canadian Dollar After the Canadian dollar (USD/CAD) sold off in the wake of the Bank of Canada’s latest Monetary Policy Report (MPR), I doubled down on my bullish bet on the currency (short USD/CAD). That bet paid off as general weakness in the U.S. dollar took USD/CAD back down to its 50-day moving average … Read more

Stock Market’s New Bear/Bull Battle Lines – Above the 40 (April 22, 2020)

AT40 = 33.8% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 11.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 42.0Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary Crash culture started this week with an astonishing collapse in oil prices. The stock market held on admirably, especially tech stocks. … Read more

Crash Culture – A Warning In Negative Oil Prices – Above the 40 (April 20, 2020)

AT40 = 30.6% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 11.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 43.8Short-term Trading Call: cautiously bullish Stock Market Commentary The culture of collapse that has accompanied the coronavirus pandemic reached new lows. The on-going collapse in oil prices reached new … Read more