Illinois Flood Disaster Does Not Prevent Corn from Rejoining the Collapse in Commodities

Illinois Governor Bruce Rauner asked the U.S. Department of Agriculture to declare a disaster in areas of the state hit hard by flooding. He should have asked for disaster relief on behalf of all the nation’s corn. Illinois was the nation’s #2 producer of corn in 2014, but the potential damage from on-going flooding in … Read more

The U.S. Dollar Regains Momentum Against the Turkish Lira As Regional Tensions Escalate

The U.S. dollar index (UUP) failed this week (so far) to break out of its short-term downtrend. However, it is picking up momentum against select currencies. One case in point is the Turkish lira (USD/TRY). Source: FreeStockCharts.com Note that the 50-day moving average (DMA) flattened out a bit after the TUrkish elections but it never … Read more

The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Fail At Important 2015 Milestones

To start this week, I pointed out that the U.S. dollar index (UUP) and the British pound (FXB) had tagged important milestones for this year. The U.S. dollar index finally rallied back to the downtrend line established from its multi-year high set in March. The British pound finally cracked the 0.70 support level against the … Read more

T2108 Update (July 21, 2015) – Follow-Through on Bearish Divergence

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

The U.S. Dollar and the British Pound Tag Important 2015 Milestones

On Friday, July 17, 2015, the U.S. dollar index (UUP) closed just below the short-term downtrend in place since it made a multi-year high in March. And for those who fear a strong dollar is bad for the U.S. economy, or at least the stock market, the S&P 500 (SPY) is apparently out to prove … Read more