Coal Stocks Are Freshly Out of Favor As the Soros Afterglow Fades

It was fun while it lasted. The trades I described in coal in the wake of news of investments by George Soros seem to be coming to a decisive end. The recent bottoms have not yet given way but seems sure to do so in the coming days or weeks. Arch Coal (ACI) has swung … Read more

A Better Looking Bottom for Coal Stocks With the Help of George Soros

Coal is a dying source of energy. It has left a trail of tears in the stock market. Communities reliant on coal have been long-suffering. So I was quite surprised to read that George Soros bought back into coal stocks from April to June, 2015. This is the same man who once called coal a … Read more

Consol Energy’s Breakout Survives A Reduction In Earnings Guidance

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on October 17, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Consol Energy (CNX) is the U.S.’s largest producer of coal from underground mines. {snip} The charts below show how CNX recently broke out and how it has traded relative to its … Read more

The QE2 Reference Price Identifies the Strongest Iron Ore and Metallurgical Coal Plays

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on September 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week, I demonstrated how the timing of QE2 provided a useful reference point for buying Freeport-McMoran (FCX) as part of a coming revision of the commodity crash playbook. In this … Read more

Positioning More Bearishly Versus the Australian Dollar As It Loses 2012’s Gains

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on April 16, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) I have been writing more and more bearishly on the Australian dollar this year (for example, see “Reserve Bank Of Australia Seems Biased Toward More Monetary Easing“). After BHP Billiton (BHP) … Read more

CSX Anticipates A Bottom in Natural Gas Prices

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on January 26, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Last week, I wrote about the opportunities arising from the crash in natural gas prices. On the morning of January 24, CSX Corporation, a railroad company, provided timely commentary on natural … Read more

2012 Will Begin with Several Candidate Trades for the Commodity Crash Playbook

This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on December 28, 2011. Click here to read the entire piece.) The Federal Reserve’s second phase of quantitative easing (QE2) is slowly becoming a distant memory…{snip} The stark contrast between winning and losing stocks (S&P 500 index versus many commodity stocks) leaves … Read more

“Commodities Crash” Triggers First Trades – ANR and EWZ

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) In July, I used ideas from Jeremy Grantham to lay out a case for taking advantage of a coming “commodities crash” to invest in and prepare for a future resource-constrained world: “Preparing for Profits in … Read more