An All-Time High Defines History, Not the Future

The S&P 500 (SPY) traded at an all-time high last week. This milestone means that the broad-based index never closed above that level, 2954.20, before that time. Specifically, “all-time” is an adjective with two meanings according to Dictionary.com: “never surpassed or greater” “regarded as such in its entire history” Despite the clarity of this definition, … Read more

Forex Critical: Dollar Danger

It was one of those trades that works until it doesn’t. Ever since the U.S. dollar index (DXY) broke out above its 200-day moving average (DMA) back in April, 2018, the index provided a lot of bullish swing trade opportunities. In the early stages of the rally, DXY pivoted around its 20DMA and then its … Read more

From Loitering to Breakout: Stocks Look for Bad News Worthy of Rate Cuts – Above the 40 (June 21, 2019)

AT40 = 53.7% of stocks are trading above their respective 40-day moving averages (DMAs) AT200 = 50.3% of stocks are trading above their respective 200DMAsVIX = 15.4Short-term Trading Call: neutral Stock Market Commentary The stock market is officially in bizarro world. The stock market is breathlessly rallying in anticipation of rate cuts that will come … Read more

Bitcoin Breakout: A 13-Month High Confirmed By Google Search Trends

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) broke out to a 13-month high this week, and Google Trends likely confirmed the move just like it confirmed the big April breakout. Google Trends provides an index showing the relative changes in the popularity of Google searches. On the same day that Bitcoin broke out, June 16th, Google searches on “Bitcoin” jumped … Read more

How To Trade When An Analyst Flips A Stock: Deere & Company

Analyst action can quickly flip a stock and change its prospects. Such a move happened to Deere & Company (DE) as Baird moved from neutral to outperform and upped its price target from $129/share to $175/share on the stock. I previously flagged DE as a bearish stock given its week-long inability to break through overhead … Read more