Trading Lessons: Verisign Closes October Earnings Gap Down

Earnings announcements are supposed to reveal the fundamental strength (or weakness) in a company. The reaction to those earnings should indicate the underlying fundamentals of a company. Yet, there is no time like earnings where the contrast between the true fundamentals of a company and market sentiment can clash in the most dramatic fashion. Case … Read more

T2108 Update (December 18, 2012) – Overbought Within Sight As Bullish Momentum Increases

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: Apple Resistance; Priceline.com and Siemens Breakout

Apple (AAPL) In one month, Apple (AAPL) has gone absolutely nowhere while remaining under critical resistance at the 200-day moving average (DMA). In between, AAPL printed an impressive hammer which created a bottom in the stock right above the $500 level. The hammer pattern printed what now looks like a classic washout day of selling … Read more

This Time SHOULD Be Different – Fade the Japanese Yen

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha on November, 2012. Click here to read the entire piece.) Japanese yen (FXY) traders have been here before. Earlier this year, the U.S. dollar (UUP) ripped from historic lows against the yen around 76 to a peak just above 84 in just … Read more

T2108 Update (September 7, 2012) – New Bullish Phase Brings New Trading Strategy

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are highly likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades … Read more

Chart Review: Molycorp On Edge of Another Big (Downward?) Move

Rare earth producer Molycorp (MCP) appears to be on the edge of another big move. A Bollinger Band squeeze is again forming around the stock. A squeeze occurs as volatility decreases, and it typically leads to a burst of higher volatility in the form of a strong move up or down. The chart below uses … Read more

Chart Review: Netflix Tags the $110 Target But More Downside To Come

For six days, Netflix (NFLX) appeared to have printed a bottom at $125. On Thursday, NFLX broke that critical support and plunged 11% to close at a new 52-week low. In the process, the stock also tagged $110 which was a price target established by a bearish analyst at Noster Capital. Unfortunately, Thursday’s action suggests … Read more

The Market Is Ignoring These Insider Purchases, But You Should Not

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) Since the market swoon began in earnest in August, I have become increasingly interested in the stock market’s reaction to the news of insider buying by company executives. In many cases, I have made the … Read more

Boring Week Waiting for RIM’s Buyback, But A Big Move Is Brewing

(This is an excerpt from an article I originally published on Seeking Alpha. Click here to read the entire piece.) The management at Research In Motion (RIMM) disappointed this past week as it appears they failed to launch the long-awaited buyback. Who can blame them? It was a week of dour headlines filled with yet … Read more

T2108 Update – June 6, 2011 (Market “Oversold”)

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page.) T2108 Status: 30% and Neutral (oversold territory relative to behavior over past two years). General Trading Call: Continue covering shorts. Identify longs for buying IF T2108 gets to official oversold territory … Read more