T2108 Update (August 25, 2014) – S&P 500 2K Edition

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

An Over-Extended U.S. Dollar and A Complete Reversal for Gold

The U.S. dollar (UUP) is at 11-month highs. The dollar index is finally showing the strength many expected from the beginning of 2014 in anticipation of strong economic numbers and subsequent rate hikes. The chart above shows that the U.S. dollar index has been on a relative tear since bouncing off its QE3 reference price … Read more

T2108 Update (August 18, 2014) – Distractions Removed, the S&P 500 Passes the Test

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

A Technician’s Wary Eye On Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc.

Intercept Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (ICPT) may indeed have the $5B blockbluster liver drug that RBC Capital Markets claimed in hiking its price target on the stock from $425 to $500. Gilead (GILD) may indeed buy out the company. Other analysts like Leerink Partners who raised its price target from $270 to $445, and Deutsche Bank who … Read more

T2108 Update (August 8, 2014) – Another Divergence Follow-Through

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (August 7, 2014) – A Bullish Divergence With Caveats

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

T2108 Update (July 31, 2014) – Market Sells Off As Sellers Decide to Sell, Delivering Quasi-Oversold Trading Conditions

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more

Caterpillar’s Stock In Trouble?

Last week, Caterpillar (CAT) reported earnings that sent the stock gapping below its 50-day moving average (DMA) with a 3.1% loss. The stock followed its lower-Bollinger Band (BB) until today (July 29, 2014). The stock rallied earlier in relative out-performance to the market before fading to flatline. All this might be rather unremarkable EXCEPT this … Read more

It Was A Great Day for Amazon.com: A Post-Earnings View

Everywhere I read or watched coverage of Amazon.com’s earnings announcement, the theme was “are investors fed up with Amazon.com’s constant spending and lack of profits???” I have never understood why investors are willing to cut Amazon.com (AMZN) so much slack, but it is a resilience that should be held in awe…and traded. Over the past … Read more

T2108 Update (July 23, 2014) – Post-Earnings Special for Apple, Intuitive Surgical, and Whirpool

(T2108 measures the percentage of stocks trading above their respective 40-day moving averages [DMAs]. It helps to identify extremes in market sentiment that are likely to reverse. To learn more about it, see my T2108 Resource Page. You can follow real-time T2108 commentary on twitter using the #T2108 hashtag. T2108-related trades and other trades are … Read more